Arthur Fils vs Carlos Alcaraz
Monte Carlo | Clay | Quarterfinals
11 Abr 2025, 14:30
11 Abr 2025, 14:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Arthur … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Arthur Fils
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
10/14 = 71,4%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
22/23 = 95,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0238 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,7377 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10840,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -23,7422 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -23,5119 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8636 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 91,2422 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61,9048 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 85,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -1,6925 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,1500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,0800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,4200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,2387 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 42,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 23,0500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7513 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1761 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7251 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9857 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 88,7406 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2160 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3714 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,5754 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3326
API ID
13711173
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monte Carlo
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3326,
"api_id": 13711173,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Arthur Fils",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Monte Carlo",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-11T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 15.59,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.59,
"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.023809523809523808,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.7376696182833684,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -10840,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": -23.742236024844715,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -23.511904761904752,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8636363636363636,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 91.24223602484471,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.41666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 38,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -1.6925155279502988,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.04999999999998295,
"second_serve_won_diff": -7.1499999999999915,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.0799999999999983,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.4200000000000017,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.2387422360248448,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 50.0,
"momentum_diff": 42.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 23.049999999999983,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7513227513227513,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1761252446183954,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.7250780488088076,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.985673078728799,
"surface_rank_synergy": 88.74063426017499,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21600000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3714223602484471,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.7300000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.8929411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -4.5753682231275485,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}