Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz
Monte Carlo | Clay | Semifinals
12 Abr 2025, 15:00
12 Abr 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alejandro … | Carlos … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Ranking
#14
UTR Rating
15,62 Pro
UTR Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
9/15 = 60,0%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
22/23 = 95,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -13,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0714 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,6391 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -9415,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -40,6708 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -30,6944 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 91,2422 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 85,4167 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 22,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,8281 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,6600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,2600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1026 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,1000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0052 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1761 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,7000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,0639 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4841 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 107,3326 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0187 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3994 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8965 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,3832 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3329
API ID
13711176
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Monte Carlo
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3329,
"api_id": 13711176,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alejandro Davidovich Fokina",
"player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"tournament": "Monte Carlo",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-04-12T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 14,
"utr_singles": 15.62,
"utr_ranking": 16,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 60.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.62,
"ranking": 16,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 16.32,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.07142857142857142,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.639057329615259,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -9415,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": -40.670807453416145,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -30.694444444444436,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 91.24223602484471,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.41666666666666,
"p1_surface_matches": 22,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.7333333333333334,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.828134575569365,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.25,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.659999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.259999999999991,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.249999999999993,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.10256728778467927,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 72.0,
"momentum_diff": 5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.0999999999999943,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0051546391752577,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1761252446183954,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2222222222222222,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.063859397430242,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.48410547891507,
"surface_rank_synergy": 107.33259251130877,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.018714285714285683,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.39942236024844713,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.7000000000000011,
"utr_p1": 0.896470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_advantage": -4.383218534752668,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}