Evgeny Karlovskiy vs Naoki Nakagawa
Busan, South Korea | Hard |
13 Apr 2025, 02:00
13 Apr 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Evgeny … | Naoki … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Evgeny Karlovskiy
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.49 Pro
UTR Ranking
#694
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
12/28 = 42.9%
Naoki Nakagawa
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13.58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#615
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Hard
14/38 = 36.8%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Evgeny Karlovskiy
Record 2025
16W - 20L (44%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13.6
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Naoki Nakagawa
Record 2025
27W - 22L (55%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
13.2
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 0.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9.4343 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5.4663 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7368 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 44.1711 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 34.7368 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43.7500 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 38.0952 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7.1953 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -6.0901 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.7354 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2.8681 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.9878 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1.5148 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 55.5556 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 55.5556 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 36.7167 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 60.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 14.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4444 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0583 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1526 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.6459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.6565 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.6649 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3388
API ID
13756153
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Busan, South Korea
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3388,
"api_id": 13756153,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Evgeny Karlovskiy",
"player2": "Naoki Nakagawa",
"tournament": "Busan, South Korea",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2025-04-13T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.49,
"utr_ranking": 694,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 16,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.61,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.23,
"opponent_name": "Patrik NIKLAS-SALMINEN"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.62,
"opponent_name": "Tomohiro Masabayashi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Yan Cheng CHEN"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.16,
"opponent_name": "Buvaysar Gadamauri"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.54,
"opponent_name": "Stijn Slump"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:18.804746+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.58,
"utr_ranking": 615,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 27,
"utr_v4_losses": 22,
"utr_v4_wr": 55.10204081632652,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.15,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.19,
"opponent_name": "Jumpei Yamasaki"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Yuma Tobe"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.94,
"opponent_name": "Taketo Takamisawa"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.4,
"opponent_name": "Ryota Tanuma"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.97,
"opponent_name": "Ryotaro Matsumura"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:56.455042+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 36.84210526315789,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.49,
"ranking": 694,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.58,
"ranking": 615,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 0,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.43428088938925,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.466269841269842,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7368421052631579,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 44.17112299465241,
"surface_wr_p2": 34.73684210526316,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.75,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.195304249929642,
"first_serve_won_diff": -6.090143540669857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.735412327610483,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.8680776808331103,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.9878159301998224,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.5148043906557835,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"momentum_diff": 55.55555555555556,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 36.71666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 60,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 14,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4444444444444444,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.058288770053475936,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.15263157894736845,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.08999999999999986,
"utr_p1": 0.6458823529411765,
"utr_p2": 0.6564705882352941,
"utr_advantage": -0.6649427410417426,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}