Novak Djokovic vs Reilly Opelka
Brisbane | Hard | Quarterfinals
03 Jan 2025, 10:35
03 Jan 2025, 10:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Novak … | Reilly … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Novak Djokovic
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
16.32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
36/48 = 75.0%
Reilly Opelka
Ranking
#50
UTR Rating
15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
24/47 = 51.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 12.5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2.5257 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 3804.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 16.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25.5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 22.0965 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0213 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 73.0769 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.9804 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 48.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 47.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14.8805 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.6650 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.1400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -7.6250 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 12.3350 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -7.7450 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9940 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0270 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4412 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 0.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 64.4061 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0410 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 51.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.9900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8624 | |
| utr_advantage | 6.2559 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
349
API ID
13271042
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Brisbane
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Novak Djokovic",
"player2": "Reilly Opelka",
"tournament": "Brisbane",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-01-03T10:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
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"player_stats": {
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"serve_quality_diff": -14.880499999999998,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.6650000000000063,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.1400000000000006,
"bp_saved_diff": -7.625,
"bp_converted_diff": 12.334999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": -7.745000000000001,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
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"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9939577039274925,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 0.0,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 64.40608042986052,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20399999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.041000000000000036,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 51.0,
"utr_diff": 0.9900000000000002,
"utr_p1": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": 6.255924170616116,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
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}