Alexandre Muller vs Arthur Fils
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Quarterfinals
03 Jan 2025, 05:00
03 Jan 2025, 05:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexandre … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexandre Muller
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
15.31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#80
Forma L5
100% (2p)
Forma L10
100% (2p)
WR Hard
25/58 = 43.1%
Arthur Fils
Ranking
#40
UTR Rating
15.88 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
50% (4p)
Forma L10
50% (4p)
WR Hard
32/52 = 61.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.9524 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.0488 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -30.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -24.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17.7799 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17.1659 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1154 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 43.5273 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61.3072 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 43.5484 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.7143 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.1379 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -9.2135 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5.9680 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.5608 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.2164 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.4074 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2.5806 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 61.2245 | |
| momentum_diff | 38.7755 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 10.8673 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8081 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0730 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5294 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2.1318 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.1948 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.8675 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0627 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1111 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8600 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9271 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.6550 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
350
API ID
13271471
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 350,
"api_id": 13271471,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alexandre Muller",
"player2": "Arthur Fils",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-01-03T05:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 15.31,
"utr_ranking": 80,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.103448275862064,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 2,
"form_l10_matches": 2
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 40,
"utr_singles": 15.88,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 52,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 80,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -30,
"best_rank_diff": -24,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.77991681521093,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.165898617511516,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1153846153846154,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 61.307189542483655,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 43.54838709677419,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.71428571428571,
"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 52,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.13793103448275862,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -9.213523113487824,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.9680083184789225,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.5608009506833085,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.2163657754010657,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.4073970291146765,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.5806393345216883,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 61.22448979591838,
"momentum_diff": 38.77551020408162,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 10.867346938775498,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8080808080808081,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.072992700729927,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.1317829457364397,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.194758382862486,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.8674850603329869,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.06272727272727274,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11107189542483653,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.8600000000000001,
"utr_p2": 0.9270588235294118,
"utr_advantage": -3.6550176338570073,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}