Holger Rune vs Casper Ruud
Barcelona | Clay | Quarterfinals
18 Abr 2025, 15:05
18 Abr 2025, 15:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Holger … | Casper … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Holger Rune
Ranking
#16
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
9/14 = 64,3%
Casper Ruud
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#22
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
14/19 = 73,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8125 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2076 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -215,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,3930 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,2169 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6200 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64,4118 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 74,8048 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 62,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 74,0741 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 31,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2903 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,0309 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,6100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 5,8300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2,6700 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,0115 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -3,4800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2908 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0810 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7238 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,6683 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,1580 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1471 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2450 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3568
API ID
13736942
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Barcelona
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3568,
"api_id": 13736942,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Holger Rune",
"player2": "Casper Ruud",
"tournament": "Barcelona",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-18T11:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.28571428571429,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 13,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 22,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.68421052631578,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.57,
"ranking": 22,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8125,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2076393647782445,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -215,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.39298911415159,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.216931216931222,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.62,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 64.41176470588235,
"surface_wr_p2": 74.80475382003394,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 62.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 74.07407407407408,
"p1_surface_matches": 31,
"p2_surface_matches": 50,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2903225806451613,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.030900029961039,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.609999999999985,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.829999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.6699999999999946,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.0115499850194745,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -3.480000000000018,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2908496732026145,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0809716599190284,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.723772529128867,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.668263422557752,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.157993657809646,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.14711764705882346,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.24504753820033942,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8905882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}