Emma Navarro vs Jelena Ostapenko
Stuttgart | Clay | Round of 16
17 Abr 2025, 21:45
17 Abr 2025, 21:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Emma … | Jelena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Emma Navarro
Ranking
#15
UTR Rating
12,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#41
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
3/7 = 42,9%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4700 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 774,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -3,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -2,4737 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,5000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,5263 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2308 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,3577 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,4200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,0900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,2400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -15,9100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0974 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 8,6350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,6761 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9512 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4286 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5675 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,3077 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,1626 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0037 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0390 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -2,4737 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5071 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,7206 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3575
API ID
13748329
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Stuttgart
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3575,
"api_id": 13748329,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Emma Navarro",
"player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"tournament": "Stuttgart",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-17T17:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 15,
"utr_singles": 12.31,
"utr_ranking": 41,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.31,
"ranking": 41,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 1.6,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.47000362924573563,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 774,
"best_rank_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -2.473684210526322,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.4999999999999947,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.52631578947368,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.23076923076923078,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.7,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.357736842105261,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.4200000000000017,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0900000000000034,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2399999999999949,
"bp_converted_diff": -15.909999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0973684210526313,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 8.634999999999991,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.676056338028169,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9512195121951219,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.42857142857142855,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.567513086086902,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.307705575101222,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.1626405565552438,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0037368421052632605,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.039000000000000035,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -2.473684210526322,
"utr_diff": 0.21000000000000085,
"utr_p1": 0.5070588235294118,
"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_advantage": 1.7206063088898063,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}