Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
Barcelona | Clay | Quarterfinals
18 Abr 2025, 18:00
18 Abr 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carlos … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
22/23 = 95,7%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/15 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 5,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,7918 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 7970,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 5,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,5756 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,7108 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 91,2422 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 85,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,7059 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,7727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,7218 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,4500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3,0200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,5500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5454 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1761 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8992 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,1792 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,0577 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 44,0335 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,4074 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1717 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,6700 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3589
API ID
13736941
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Barcelona
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3589,
"api_id": 13736941,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"player2": "Alex de Minaur",
"tournament": "Barcelona",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-18T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.32,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.89,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 5,
"rank_ratio": 6.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.791759469228055,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 7970,
"best_rank_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.575569358178058,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.710784313725483,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4666666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_p1": 91.24223602484471,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 85.41666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7727272727272727,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.7218488612836467,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.4500000000000028,
"second_serve_won_diff": 3.019999999999996,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.549999999999997,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.600000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5454244306418221,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1761252446183954,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8991935483870968,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.179202127455549,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.057660460984435,
"surface_rank_synergy": 44.03350910918637,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.40742236024844714,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17166666666666652,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.4299999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_advantage": 2.66997826761875,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}