Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula
Stuttgart | Clay | Quarterfinals
19 Abr 2025, 14:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ekaterina … Jessica … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking #11
UTR Rating 12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 7/10 = 70,0%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 5/9 = 55,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -5,0000
rank_ratio 0,5455
log_rank_ratio -0,6061
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -2078,0000
best_rank_diff -7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,6333
surface_matches_ratio 1,4545
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 54,0000
surface_wr_p2 53,8889
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 53,3333
p1_surface_matches 16,0000
p2_surface_matches 11,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5333
p2_confidence 0,4467
combined_confidence 0,4900
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,1971
first_serve_won_diff -0,3300
second_serve_won_diff 2,1700
bp_saved_diff 1,2200
bp_converted_diff -1,8900
aces_per_match_diff 0,8556
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,4782
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8750
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0345
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5714
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,9995
serve_consistency_p2 11,2092
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,0673
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0450
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0339
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,0100
utr_p1 0,5576
utr_p2 0,5588
utr_advantage -0,0785
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3595
API ID 13748328
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stuttgart
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3595,
    "api_id": 13748328,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
    "player2": "Jessica Pegula",
    "tournament": "Stuttgart",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-04-19T10:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.74,
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      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.75,
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      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
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  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "division": "Pro",
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  },
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    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -2078,
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    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.6333333333333344,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 54.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 53.888888888888886,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
    "p1_surface_matches": 16,
    "p2_surface_matches": 11,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
    "combined_confidence": 0.49,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.197111111111113,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.3299999999999983,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.1699999999999946,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.2199999999999989,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.8900000000000006,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.8555555555555556,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.47821415236809517,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.875,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0344827586206897,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.999490083709908,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.209245236418953,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.06734842261892587,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04500000000000004,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
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    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
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    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
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    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
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    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
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}