Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula
Stuttgart | Clay | Quarterfinals
19 Apr 2025, 10:30
19 Apr 2025, 10:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Ekaterina … | Jessica … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
12.80 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
8/16 = 50.0%
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
6/11 = 54.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -4.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5108 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | -2208.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -7.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.6333 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.4545 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53.8889 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 11.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.4467 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.4900 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2.1971 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.3300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.1700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.2200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1.8900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.8556 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.4782 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8750 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0345 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5714 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.9995 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11.2092 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.0568 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0440 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0349 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5647 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5624 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.1564 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3595
API ID
13748328
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Stuttgart
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3595,
"api_id": 13748328,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Ekaterina Alexandrova",
"player2": "Jessica Pegula",
"tournament": "Stuttgart",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-19T10:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 10,
"utr_singles": 12.8,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.78,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.54545454545454,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.8,
"ranking": 6,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.6,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5108256237659907,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -2208,
"best_rank_diff": -7,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.11111111111111427,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.6333333333333344,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4545454545454546,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 54.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 11,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.49,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.197111111111113,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.3299999999999983,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.1699999999999946,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2199999999999989,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.8900000000000006,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.8555555555555556,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.47821415236809517,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.875,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0344827586206897,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5714285714285714,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.999490083709908,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.209245236418953,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.05675840264066725,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.04400000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.03488888888888886,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.02000000000000135,
"utr_p1": 0.5647058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": 0.15637216575450627,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}