Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Fils
Barcelona | Clay | Semifinals
19 Abr 2025, 18:00
19 Abr 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Carlos … | Arthur … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
22/23 = 95,7%
Arthur Fils
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
15,59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#20
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
10/14 = 71,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 41,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 42,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,7377 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 10840,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 13,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 23,7422 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 23,5119 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,1579 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 91,2422 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 85,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,9048 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,7727 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,6925 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,1500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,0800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,4200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,2387 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,1761 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7513 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0762 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 2,7164 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 88,7406 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3714 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2160 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 47,4845 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8929 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,5754 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3606
API ID
13736940
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Barcelona
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3606,
"api_id": 13736940,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Carlos Alcaraz",
"player2": "Arthur Fils",
"tournament": "Barcelona",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-04-19T14:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 16.32,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 15.59,
"utr_ranking": 20,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.42857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 16.32,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.59,
"ranking": 20,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 41,
"rank_ratio": 42.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.7376696182833684,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 10840,
"best_rank_diff": 13,
"surface_wr_diff": 23.742236024844715,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 23.511904761904752,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1578947368421053,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 91.24223602484471,
"surface_wr_p2": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 85.41666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.904761904761905,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7727272727272727,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6925155279502988,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.04999999999998295,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.1499999999999915,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.0799999999999983,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.4200000000000017,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.2387422360248448,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1761252446183954,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7513227513227513,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.076221669636581,
"serve_consistency_p2": 2.7163566685636162,
"surface_rank_synergy": 88.74063426017499,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3714223602484472,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21599999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 47.48447204968943,
"utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.9788235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.8929411764705882,
"utr_advantage": 4.5753682231275485,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}