Aryna Sabalenka vs Jasmine Paolini
Stuttgart | Clay | Semifinals
20 Abr 2025, 16:45
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aryna … Jasmine … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 15/17 = 88,2%
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking #8
UTR Rating 12,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #17
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 10/12 = 83,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 7,0000
rank_ratio 8,0000
log_rank_ratio 2,0794
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 6723,0000
best_rank_diff 3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,7087
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 7,6959
surface_matches_ratio 1,3077
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 86,4706
surface_wr_p2 79,7619
surface_wr_p1_stable 81,5789
surface_wr_p2_stable 73,3333
p1_surface_matches 34,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,7059
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,9333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,4307
first_serve_won_diff 7,4600
second_serve_won_diff -2,6400
bp_saved_diff 14,0700
bp_converted_diff -5,6600
aces_per_match_diff 2,2464
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2770
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9333
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 9,6985
serve_consistency_p2 5,7786
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 13,9503
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,3577
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3046
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,3800
utr_p1 0,5847
utr_p2 0,5400
utr_advantage 2,9734
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3619
API ID 13748325
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stuttgart
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3619,
    "api_id": 13748325,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
    "player2": "Jasmine Paolini",
    "tournament": "Stuttgart",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2025-04-20T12:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "utr_singles": 12.97,
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      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 88.23529411764706,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 8,
      "utr_singles": 12.59,
      "utr_ranking": 17,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 83.33333333333334,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  "utr": {
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    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 17,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 8.0,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.708683473389357,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.6959064327485445,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3076923076923077,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 86.47058823529412,
    "surface_wr_p2": 79.76190476190476,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.430717086834733,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.460000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6400000000000006,
    "bp_saved_diff": 14.07,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.660000000000004,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.2463585434173674,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.698490758229827,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.778612691903253,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 13.9503151045468,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3577058823529412,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.30461904761904757,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
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    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
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    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
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    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
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    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
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    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
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}