Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko
Stuttgart | Clay | Final
21 Apr 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aryna … Jelena … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 29/34 = 85.3%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking #23
UTR Rating 12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking #78
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 9/16 = 56.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 22.0000
rank_ratio 23.0000
log_rank_ratio 3.1355
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 9070.0000
best_rank_diff 4.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 33.4706
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 20.3772
surface_matches_ratio 2.1250
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 86.4706
surface_wr_p2 53.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 81.5789
surface_wr_p2_stable 55.0000
p1_surface_matches 34.0000
p2_surface_matches 16.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.7059
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.5333
combined_confidence 0.7667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3.5528
first_serve_won_diff 4.9400
second_serve_won_diff 4.5700
bp_saved_diff 12.2300
bp_converted_diff -12.3300
aces_per_match_diff -0.1441
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.2000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 98.0000
momentum_diff 2.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff -2.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.2770
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.9512
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.3333
serve_consistency_p1 8.8331
serve_consistency_p2 10.9694
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 104.9468
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.3427
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0520
elite_surface_amplifier 66.9412
UTR
utr_diff 0.8700
utr_p1 0.5847
utr_p2 0.4824
utr_advantage 6.9406
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3620
API ID 13748338
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Stuttgart
Superficie Clay
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3620,
    "api_id": 13748338,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
    "player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
    "tournament": "Stuttgart",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-04-21T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
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      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
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    "p2": {
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      "wr_surface": 56.25,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
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      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
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    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.125,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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    "surface_wr_p2": 53.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.552764705882346,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.939999999999998,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 4.570000000000007,
    "bp_saved_diff": 12.230000000000004,
    "bp_converted_diff": -12.329999999999998,
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    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
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    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
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    "match_load_p1": 2,
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    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9512195121951219,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.833100684621266,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
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    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
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    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
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    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
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    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
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