Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko
Stuttgart | Clay | Final
21 Abr 2025, 15:00
21 Abr 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Jelena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
15/17 = 88,2%
Jelena Ostapenko
Ranking
#24
UTR Rating
12,10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
3/6 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 23,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 24,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3,1781 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 9249,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,4706 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 20,3772 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,1250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 86,4706 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81,5789 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,7059 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3,5528 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,9400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,5700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,2300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -12,3300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1441 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2770 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9512 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8331 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,9694 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 106,3713 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3417 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0530 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 66,9412 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,8700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4824 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,9406 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3620
API ID
13748338
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Stuttgart
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3620,
"api_id": 13748338,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Jelena Ostapenko",
"tournament": "Stuttgart",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-04-21T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 88.23529411764706,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 24,
"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 6,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.97,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.1,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 23,
"rank_ratio": 24.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 3.1780538303479458,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 9249,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.470588235294116,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 20.377192982456133,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.125,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 86.47058823529412,
"surface_wr_p2": 53.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.00000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.552764705882346,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.939999999999998,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.570000000000007,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.230000000000004,
"bp_converted_diff": -12.329999999999998,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.14411764705882302,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9512195121951219,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.833100684621266,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.969407710642804,
"surface_rank_synergy": 106.37133114517536,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3417058823529412,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05300000000000005,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 66.94117647058823,
"utr_diff": 0.870000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.48235294117647054,
"utr_advantage": 6.940566414040694,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}