Jacob Fearnley vs Pavel Kotov
Madrid | Clay | Qualification Round 1
21 Apr 2025, 09:40
21 Apr 2025, 09:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jacob … | Pavel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
15.64 Pro
UTR Ranking
#44
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
10/16 = 62.5%
Pavel Kotov
Ranking
#463
UTR Rating
14.24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#258
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
13/29 = 44.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 392.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6.5211 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.8750 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 691.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30.4444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10.9091 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.5517 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 32.0556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45.4545 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.4564 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3.3600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.7900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8.2400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.8900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.2697 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 16.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17.4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 19.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7407 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0403 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0.2168 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.6230 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 57.0848 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.2670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2126 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 60.8889 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8988 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7341 | |
| utr_advantage | 9.3708 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3627
API ID
13793004
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3627,
"api_id": 13793004,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
"player2": "Pavel Kotov",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-04-21T09:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 15.64,
"utr_ranking": 44,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 463,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 258,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.827586206896555,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.64,
"ranking": 44,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 258,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 6.52112676056338,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8750471770449186,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 691,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.444444444444443,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.90909090909091,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5517241379310345,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 32.05555555555556,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.45454545454545,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.456444444444443,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.3599999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7900000000000063,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.239999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.8900000000000006,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2697222222222226,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 16.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.450000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 19,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7407407407407407,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0403225806451613,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.21680216802168104,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.622985719867438,
"surface_rank_synergy": 57.08476961225641,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.267,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2125555555555556,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 60.888888888888886,
"utr_diff": 1.4000000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.8988235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 9.370816599732263,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}