Jacob Fearnley vs Pavel Kotov
Madrid | Clay | Qualification Round 1
21 Abr 2025, 13:40
21 Abr 2025, 13:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jacob … | Pavel … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
10/16 = 62,5%
Pavel Kotov
Ranking
#485
UTR Rating
14,24 Pro
UTR Ranking
#268
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
2/9 = 22,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 408,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6,2987 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,8403 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 663,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 30,4444 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10,9091 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5517 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 32,0556 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,4545 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,4564 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,3600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,7900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -8,2400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,8900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,2697 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 16,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 17,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 19,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7407 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0403 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 0,2168 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6230 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 56,0282 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2830 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2286 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 60,8889 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,0600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7341 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,1767 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3627
API ID
13793004
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3627,
"api_id": 13793004,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jacob Fearnley",
"player2": "Pavel Kotov",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-04-21T09:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 485,
"utr_singles": 14.24,
"utr_ranking": 268,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 22.22222222222222,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.3,
"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.24,
"ranking": 268,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 6.298701298701299,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.8403434690837994,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 663,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 30.444444444444443,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.90909090909091,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5517241379310345,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p2": 32.05555555555556,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.45454545454545,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 29,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.456444444444443,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.3599999999999994,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.7900000000000063,
"bp_saved_diff": -8.239999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.8900000000000006,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2697222222222226,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 16.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 17.450000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 19,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7407407407407407,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0403225806451613,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 0.21680216802168104,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.622985719867438,
"surface_rank_synergy": 56.02823450321789,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.28300000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22855555555555562,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 60.888888888888886,
"utr_diff": 1.0600000000000005,
"utr_p1": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.7341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 7.176709546377796,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}