Taro Daniel vs Valentin Royer
Madrid | Clay | Qualification Round 1
21 Abr 2025, 16:35
21 Abr 2025, 16:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Taro … | Valentin … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Taro Daniel
Ranking
#374
UTR Rating
14,05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#360
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
11% (9p)
WR Clay
1/9 = 11,1%
Valentin Royer
Ranking
#58
UTR Rating
15,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#79
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Clay
31/42 = 73,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -316,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,1551 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,8638 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -796,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -2,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -54,1691 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -38,2682 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3521 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 17,1528 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,3218 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 27,5862 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 69,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 71,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5200 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,5775 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -9,9600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5,0900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,5700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,5300 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0353 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,4082 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,4082 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,7776 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 20,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 84,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9143 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0317 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6552 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 2,1094 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1430 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 100,9610 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0125 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1028 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8341 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,1380 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3648
API ID
13792989
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3648,
"api_id": 13792989,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Taro Daniel",
"player2": "Valentin Royer",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-04-21T12:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 374,
"utr_singles": 14.05,
"utr_ranking": 360,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 11.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 11.11111111111111,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 58,
"utr_singles": 15.09,
"utr_ranking": 79,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 73.80952380952381,
"wr_surface_wins": 31,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.05,
"ranking": 360,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.09,
"ranking": 79,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.15508021390374332,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.8638127868681125,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -796,
"best_rank_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -54.16906130268199,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -38.26819923371649,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.352112676056338,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_p1": 17.15277777777778,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.32183908045977,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 27.586206896551722,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 69.33333333333334,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 71,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.52,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.577545977011482,
"first_serve_won_diff": -9.959999999999987,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.090000000000003,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.5700000000000003,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.530000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0352729885057466,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.25,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.408163265306122,
"momentum_diff": -20.408163265306122,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.777551020408168,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 20,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 84,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9142857142857143,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0317460317460319,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6551724137931034,
"serve_consistency_p1": 2.109447008941661,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.143041850309652,
"surface_rank_synergy": 100.96098910858134,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.012472222222222273,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.10278160919540225,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.0399999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.7117647058823531,
"utr_p2": 0.8341176470588235,
"utr_advantage": -7.137954701441311,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}