Juncheng Shang vs Kei Nishikori
Hong Kong Men Singles | Hard | Semifinals
04 Jan 2025, 08:45
04 Jan 2025, 08:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Juncheng … | Kei … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Juncheng Shang
Ranking
#253
UTR Rating
15.44 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Hard
33/57 = 57.9%
Kei Nishikori
Ranking
#156
UTR Rating
15.21 Pro
UTR Ranking
#84
Forma L5
100% (3p)
Forma L10
100% (3p)
WR Hard
25/40 = 62.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -97.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6166 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.4835 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -182.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -43.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11.6891 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3.9866 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.4250 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48.8372 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 60.5263 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57.3770 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61.3636 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 57.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1579 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.6074 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.0312 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.3988 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.5076 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7.9441 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.2557 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 90.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7599 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.1279 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6538 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.0840 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3.3417 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 5.6521 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0854 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0083 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8753 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8482 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.5008 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
365
API ID
13271490
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Hong Kong Men Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 365,
"api_id": 13271490,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Juncheng Shang",
"player2": "Kei Nishikori",
"tournament": "Hong Kong Men Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-01-04T08:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 253,
"utr_singles": 15.44,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.89473684210527,
"wr_surface_wins": 33,
"wr_surface_total": 57,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 156,
"utr_singles": 15.21,
"utr_ranking": 84,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.44,
"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.21,
"ranking": 84,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.616600790513834,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4835334814779832,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -182,
"best_rank_diff": -43,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.68910648714811,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.986587183308501,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.425,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.837209302325576,
"surface_wr_p2": 60.526315789473685,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.377049180327866,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.36363636363637,
"p1_surface_matches": 57,
"p2_surface_matches": 40,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.15789473684210525,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.607435041091101,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.031173282042303,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3987987410386395,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.5076219618814477,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.944107361426823,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.2557440111907683,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7598784194528876,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.127906976744186,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6538461538461539,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.084042900290103,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.341666245867162,
"surface_rank_synergy": 5.652074355097604,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08537209302325571,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.008263157894736861,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.22999999999999865,
"utr_p1": 0.8752941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.8482352941176472,
"utr_advantage": 1.5008156606851464,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}