Otto Virtanen vs Borna Ćorić
Madrid | Clay | Qualification Round 1
21 Abr 2025, 18:40
21 Abr 2025, 18:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Otto … | Borna … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Otto Virtanen
Ranking
#126
UTR Rating
14,87 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
5/12 = 41,7%
Borna Ćorić
Ranking
#123
Forma L5
25% (4p)
Forma L10
25% (4p)
WR Clay
15/20 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9762 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0241 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -79,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -19,8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,3697 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 58,8235 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1667 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,1213 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,9100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,1900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,0200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,0400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9167 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,6122 | |
| momentum_diff | 1,3878 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,7753 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 18,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7200 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2727 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 1,3343 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,1307 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4779 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0803 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1120 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8082 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3652
API ID
13793006
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3652,
"api_id": 13793006,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Otto Virtanen",
"player2": "Borna \u0106ori\u0107",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-04-21T14:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 126,
"utr_singles": 14.87,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 41.66666666666667,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 123,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 20,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 25.0,
"form_l10_wr": 25.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.87,
"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -3,
"rank_ratio": 0.9761904761904762,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.02409755157906053,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -10,
"best_rank_diff": -79,
"surface_wr_diff": -19.83333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.369747899159671,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_p1": 41.66666666666667,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.82352941176471,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.16666666666666666,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.12133333333333951,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.9099999999999824,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.190000000000012,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.019999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.039999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9166666666666661,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.15000000000000002,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.612244897959183,
"momentum_diff": 1.387755102040817,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.7753061224489812,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 18,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.72,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 1.3343043236169003,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.130678168528258,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.4779347729847004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.08033333333333326,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.11199999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_p2": 0.8082352941176469,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}