Francesca Jones vs Laura Siegemund
Madrid | Clay | Qualification Round 1
21 Apr 2025, 18:00
21 Apr 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Francesca … | Laura … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Francesca Jones
Ranking
#73
UTR Rating
12.16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#65
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
22/34 = 64.7%
Laura Siegemund
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12.15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#69
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Clay
11/21 = 52.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -27.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6301 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.4618 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -302.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -44.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25.1250 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 9.4842 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.6190 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66.4583 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63.1579 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.8798 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.0700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.0300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 2.7900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.8200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.0179 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 24.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 18.6700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7368 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.2289 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7.7269 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -11.6032 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1916 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.1137 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4882 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0823 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3678
API ID
13793035
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3678,
"api_id": 13793035,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Francesca Jones",
"player2": "Laura Siegemund",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-04-21T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 73,
"utr_singles": 12.16,
"utr_ranking": 65,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 64.70588235294117,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 69,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 52.38095238095239,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.16,
"ranking": 65,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 69,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.6301369863013698,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.4618180446592962,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -302,
"best_rank_diff": -44,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.125,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 9.484210526315787,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.619047619047619,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.45833333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.33333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.1578947368421,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 21,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.29411764705882354,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.7,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.8798333333333375,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.07,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.0300000000000011,
"bp_saved_diff": 2.789999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.8199999999999932,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0179166666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 8.0,
"momentum_diff": 24.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 18.67,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7368421052631579,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.228888128216468,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.726918477643692,
"surface_rank_synergy": -11.603178372064818,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19158333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.11366666666666675,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.009999999999999787,
"utr_p1": 0.4894117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_advantage": 0.08227067050596286,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}