Christopher O'Connell vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Madrid | Clay | Round of 128
23 Apr 2025, 10:40
23 Apr 2025, 10:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Christopher … | Camilo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Christopher O'Connell
Ranking
#115
UTR Rating
14.98 Pro
UTR Ranking
#97
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
5/16 = 31.3%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14.90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#106
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
73/112 = 65.2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -66.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4261 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.8531 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2.0000 | |
| points_diff | -507.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -10.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31.9094 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -22.7356 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.1429 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 31.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62.9094 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 35.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.6552 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 112.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.3750 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.6292 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.1500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.7300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1.7800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9.3200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.6116 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -68.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -58.9000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -5.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 8.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 17.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5435 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.5417 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7500 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5405 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.2046 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.3876 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 27.2222 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1240 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0631 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8212 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8118 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.5355 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3690
API ID
13796969
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3690,
"api_id": 13796969,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Christopher O'Connell",
"player2": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-04-23T10:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 115,
"utr_singles": 14.98,
"utr_ranking": 97,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 31.25,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 14.9,
"utr_ranking": 106,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.17857142857143,
"wr_surface_wins": 73,
"wr_surface_total": 112,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.98,
"ranking": 97,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.9,
"ranking": 106,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -66,
"rank_ratio": 0.4260869565217391,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8531118302526235,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -507,
"best_rank_diff": -10,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.909356725146196,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -22.73563218390805,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.14285714285714285,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_p1": 31.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.909356725146196,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 35.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.65517241379311,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 112,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.375,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6292163742690136,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.1499999999999915,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.730000000000004,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.7800000000000082,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.319999999999993,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.611608187134503,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -67.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -58.900000000000006,
"current_streak_diff": -5,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 8,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5434782608695652,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5416666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.75,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5405405405405406,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.204576789944339,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.387649781297187,
"surface_rank_synergy": 27.22224971797333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12400000000000005,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06309356725146198,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.08000000000000007,
"utr_p1": 0.8211764705882354,
"utr_p2": 0.8117647058823529,
"utr_advantage": 0.5354752342704154,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}