Nuno Borges vs Pablo Carreño Busta
Madrid | Clay | Round of 128
23 Apr 2025, 10:45
23 Apr 2025, 10:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nuno … | Pablo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nuno Borges
Ranking
#47
UTR Rating
15.32 Pro
UTR Ranking
#67
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
20/34 = 58.8%
Pablo Carreño Busta
Ranking
#89
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
15/32 = 46.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 42.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.8936 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6385 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 464.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -20.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 9.5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 10.6725 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0625 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 45.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57.8947 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47.2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1765 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.7095 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0.5900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.8900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.8700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.4400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.9358 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 16.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16.0740 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1338 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3684 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7143 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12.0621 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.5330 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 6.0656 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0030 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0080 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 9.5000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8612 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3691
API ID
13796970
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3691,
"api_id": 13796970,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Nuno Borges",
"player2": "Pablo Carre\u00f1o Busta",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-04-23T10:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.32,
"utr_ranking": 67,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 58.82352941176471,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 89,
"utr_singles": null,
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 67,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
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}
},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.6384887680220812,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 464,
"best_rank_diff": -20,
"surface_wr_diff": 9.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 10.672514619883046,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 45.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.89473684210527,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.17647058823529413,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.7095384615384575,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.5900000000000034,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.8900000000000006,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.8700000000000045,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.4399999999999977,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9357692307692309,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"momentum_diff": 16.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.074000000000005,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1338028169014085,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3684210526315789,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7142857142857143,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.062144612080623,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.533037815976314,
"surface_rank_synergy": 6.065643296209771,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0030000000000000027,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.007999999999999952,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 9.5,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_p2": 0.8611764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}