Hugo Gaston vs Luca Nardi
Madrid | Clay | Qualification Round 2
22 Apr 2025, 13:45
22 Apr 2025, 13:45
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Hugo … | Luca … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Hugo Gaston
Ranking
#97
UTR Rating
14.65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#137
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
21/46 = 45.7%
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#107
UTR Rating
14.68 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
14/27 = 51.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 10.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.1031 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.0981 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 54.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 9.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10.1538 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -5.3323 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.7037 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 38.3077 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 48.4615 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 51.6129 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 46.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0870 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4.4102 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -4.6800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.5700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -0.4600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6.6200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.6496 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 4.3940 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1493 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.4762 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3750 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.1276 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9.4708 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.9963 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1269 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0054 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -10.1538 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.0300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7859 | |
| utr_advantage | -0.2046 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3710
API ID
13799066
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 2
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3710,
"api_id": 13799066,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Hugo Gaston",
"player2": "Luca Nardi",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 2",
"date": "2025-04-22T13:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 97,
"utr_singles": 14.65,
"utr_ranking": 137,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.65217391304348,
"wr_surface_wins": 21,
"wr_surface_total": 46,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 14.68,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 51.85185185185185,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 137,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.09811785595852342,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 54,
"best_rank_diff": 9,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.153846153846146,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.7037037037037037,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 48.46153846153845,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"p1_surface_matches": 46,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.08695652173913043,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.410230769230765,
"first_serve_won_diff": -4.680000000000007,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.569999999999993,
"bp_saved_diff": -0.46000000000000085,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.61999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.6496153846153847,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 4.3940000000000055,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1492537313432836,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.47619047619047616,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.375,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.127577711166227,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.470750396413292,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.9962736143480831,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.12692307692307692,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.005384615384615488,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -10.153846153846146,
"utr_diff": -0.02999999999999936,
"utr_p1": 0.7823529411764706,
"utr_p2": 0.7858823529411765,
"utr_advantage": -0.20456870098874438,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}