Joao Fonseca vs Elmer Moller
Madrid | Clay | Round of 128
24 Abr 2025, 20:05
24 Abr 2025, 20:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Elmer … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Fonseca
Ranking
#32
UTR Rating
15,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
8/12 = 66,7%
Elmer Moller
Ranking
#119
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Clay
24/39 = 61,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 87,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,7188 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3134 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 993,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 78,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -0,1985 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,3570 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4111 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 63,4667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,6652 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58,5366 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,8936 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 90,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1892 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 9,2943 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,3400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,5800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1,1900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,0200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0751 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 77,7778 | |
| momentum_diff | -25,7778 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7,2367 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2029 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6429 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5357 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,5895 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,8682 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,2607 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0477 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2237 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -0,3970 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8894 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3762
API ID
13803744
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3762,
"api_id": 13803744,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Joao Fonseca",
"player2": "Elmer Moller",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-04-24T16:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 32,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 119,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.53846153846154,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 39,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.71875,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3133875903118029,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 993,
"best_rank_diff": 78,
"surface_wr_diff": -0.19849170437406372,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.357031655422944,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4111111111111111,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_p1": 63.466666666666654,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.66515837104072,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 58.536585365853654,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.8936170212766,
"p1_surface_matches": 37,
"p2_surface_matches": 90,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1891891891891892,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 9.294283559577678,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.340000000000003,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.5800000000000125,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.1900000000000048,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.020000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0751417797888383,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.77777777777777,
"momentum_diff": -25.77777777777777,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.236666666666679,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2028985507246377,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6428571428571429,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5357142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.589450684405856,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.86820503398656,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.2606965413047343,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.047666666666666524,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22365158371040716,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.39698340874812743,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}