Yunchaokete Bu vs Jacob Fearnley
Madrid | Clay | Round of 128
24 Apr 2025, 19:05
24 Apr 2025, 19:05
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yunchaokete … | Jacob … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yunchaokete Bu
Ranking
#122
UTR Rating
15.05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#95
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
9/19 = 47.4%
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#71
UTR Rating
15.56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#44
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/16 = 62.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.5820 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.5413 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -278.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -15.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -14.5000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -7.1014 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1875 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47.8261 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.0526 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -0.0990 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.5200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.4800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10.7200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.1500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4025 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -28.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -18.7340 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.8750 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7407 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.7630 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.7755 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.8494 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0310 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.0740 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.5100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8894 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.3322 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3766
API ID
13803746
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3766,
"api_id": 13803746,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Yunchaokete Bu",
"player2": "Jacob Fearnley",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-04-24T19:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 122,
"utr_singles": 15.05,
"utr_ranking": 95,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.368421052631575,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 71,
"utr_singles": 15.56,
"utr_ranking": 44,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.05,
"ranking": 95,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.56,
"ranking": 44,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -51,
"rank_ratio": 0.5819672131147541,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.5413411676919412,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -278,
"best_rank_diff": -15,
"surface_wr_diff": -14.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -7.101449275362317,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.1875,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.82608695652174,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.05263157894736842,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.5833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -0.09899999999999665,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.519999999999996,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.4800000000000111,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.719999999999999,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.1499999999999986,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.40249999999999986,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -27.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -18.73400000000001,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.875,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7407407407407407,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.763048765697705,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.7755331088421,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.849446931533147,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.031000000000000028,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07399999999999995,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5099999999999998,
"utr_p1": 0.8294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.8894117647058825,
"utr_advantage": -3.3322443645867352,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}