Alycia Parks vs Daria Kasatkina
Madrid | Clay | Round of 64
25 Apr 2025, 09:00
25 Apr 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alycia … | Daria … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alycia Parks
Ranking
#78
UTR Rating
11.77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#175
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
4/16 = 25.0%
Daria Kasatkina
Ranking
#37
UTR Rating
12.20 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
8/15 = 53.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -41.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.4744 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.7458 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -478.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -32.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -25.4762 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11.6930 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 26.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 52.1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 30.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52.6316 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 16.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 15.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0.5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.5000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.5167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8.5425 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8.3500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -5.9100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 7.1500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9.5600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3.0702 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6.8400 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 21.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1389 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8194 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.4484 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1.7959 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18.9999 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1923 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0196 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4435 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4941 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.5878 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3786
API ID
13806856
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 3786,
"api_id": 13806856,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alycia Parks",
"player2": "Daria Kasatkina",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-04-25T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.77,
"utr_ranking": 175,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 25.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 37,
"utr_singles": 12.2,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
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"wr_surface": 53.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 175,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.7457909140453673,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -478,
"best_rank_diff": -32,
"surface_wr_diff": -25.476190476190474,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.692982456140347,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0666666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 26.666666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2": 52.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 30.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.63157894736842,
"p1_surface_matches": 16,
"p2_surface_matches": 15,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5,
"p1_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.5166666666666666,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.542476190476187,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.350000000000009,
"second_serve_won_diff": -5.909999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": 7.150000000000006,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.560000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0702380952380954,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 32.0,
"momentum_diff": 10.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.840000000000003,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 21,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1388888888888888,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8194444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.448353353622316,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.7959242356742662,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.999911381631975,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.1923333333333333,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.019571428571428684,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
"utr_p1": 0.44352941176470584,
"utr_p2": 0.49411764705882344,
"utr_advantage": -3.5878181059657885,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
"utr_available": "0.0123"
}
}