Katie Boulter vs Jasmine Paolini
Madrid | Clay | Round of 64
25 Apr 2025, 09:00
25 Apr 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Katie … | Jasmine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Katie Boulter
Ranking
#106
UTR Rating
12.10 Pro
UTR Ranking
#78
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (6p)
WR Clay
9/17 = 52.9%
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
20/26 = 76.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -98.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0755 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2.5840 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4.0000 | |
| points_diff | -3581.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -19.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -22.1905 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15.0159 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6538 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 57.5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 79.7619 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52.3810 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0588 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4.1907 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4.8200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.4200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 4.4400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.2500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.2533 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15.7650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6613 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.5700 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.6839 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 57.3401 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1737 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1996 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4824 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5400 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.9692 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3788
API ID
13773970
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 3788,
"api_id": 13773970,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Katie Boulter",
"player2": "Jasmine Paolini",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-04-25T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.1,
"utr_ranking": 78,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 52.94117647058824,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.59,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 78,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 15,
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"points_diff": -3581,
"best_rank_diff": -19,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6538461538461539,
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"surface_wr_p2": 79.76190476190476,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.058823529411764705,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7166666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.190666666666672,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.82,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.4200000000000017,
"bp_saved_diff": 4.439999999999991,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.250000000000007,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.2533333333333334,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.765,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6612903225806451,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.569954080126854,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.683859225386817,
"surface_rank_synergy": 57.340136163496176,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1737142857142857,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19961904761904758,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
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"utr_p2": 0.54,
"utr_advantage": -3.969218307006887,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
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}
}