Brandon Nakashima vs Sebastian Ofner
Madrid | Clay | Round of 64
25 Apr 2025, 13:40
25 Apr 2025, 13:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Brandon … | Sebastian … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#33
UTR Rating
15.51 Pro
UTR Ranking
#50
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
19/34 = 55.9%
Sebastian Ofner
Ranking
#133
UTR Rating
15.33 Pro
UTR Ranking
#63
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Clay
22/44 = 50.0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 100.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4.0303 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.3938 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 967.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -4.5373 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5.2632 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7727 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54.0373 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 55.2632 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 44.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1176 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2.0425 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3.1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.1900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -4.5500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 2.2400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.0677 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -90.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -62.4350 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.3495 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8581 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.5455 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4615 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.5611 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -6.3242 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1050 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1404 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -9.0745 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8624 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.1673 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3797
API ID
13773889
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Brandon Nakashima",
"player2": "Sebastian Ofner",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-04-25T13:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"p2": {
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"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
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"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 8,
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"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 44,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.11764705882352941,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.0424658385093153,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.1000000000000085,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.1899999999999977,
"bp_saved_diff": -4.549999999999997,
"bp_converted_diff": 2.240000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.06773291925465852,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"momentum_p1": 10.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"momentum_diff": -90.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -62.435,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
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"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3495145631067962,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8581314878892734,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5454545454545454,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.46153846153846156,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.561119186423928,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": -6.324231456613217,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.10499999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14037267080745341,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -9.07453416149069,
"utr_diff": 0.17999999999999972,
"utr_p1": 0.8835294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.8623529411764705,
"utr_advantage": 1.1673151750972743,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
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"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
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"utr_p2": "0.012",
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}