Flavio Cobolli vs Holger Rune
Madrid | Clay | Round of 64
25 Apr 2025, 18:30
25 Apr 2025, 18:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Flavio … | Holger … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Flavio Cobolli
Ranking
#22
UTR Rating
15.61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#36
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
25/40 = 62.5%
Holger Rune
Ranking
#15
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
20/31 = 64.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -7.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.6818 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0.3830 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1.0000 | |
| points_diff | -565.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -13.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1.3777 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.4935 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2903 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65.7895 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.4118 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 61.3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62.8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 40.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 31.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2500 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.5112 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -2.0900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -5.9300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.2200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.4631 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27.0150 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.6913 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2908 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.3529 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.7500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.4103 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.2019 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0.5277 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1649 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1371 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.8953 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0.0000 | |
| utr_available | 0.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3801
API ID
13773919
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 3801,
"api_id": 13773919,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Flavio Cobolli",
"player2": "Holger Rune",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-04-25T18:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.61,
"utr_ranking": 36,
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"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 40,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": null,
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"wr_surface": 64.51612903225806,
"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 31,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 36,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": -0.38299225225610584,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -565,
"best_rank_diff": -13,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.3777089783281724,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2903225806451613,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 64.41176470588235,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.36363636363637,
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"p1_surface_matches": 40,
"p2_surface_matches": 31,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.5112125902992801,
"first_serve_won_diff": -2.089999999999989,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0999999999999943,
"bp_saved_diff": -5.930000000000014,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.219999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.46310629514963875,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -49.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.015,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.691275167785235,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2908496732026145,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.410284174881282,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.2018665778304785,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.5276518645633652,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1648947368421052,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13711764705882346,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"utr_p1": 0.8952941176470588,
"utr_p2": 0.8952941176470588,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0203",
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}
}