Maria Sakkari vs Jasmine Paolini
Madrid | Clay | Round of 32
27 Apr 2025, 11:00
27 Apr 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Jasmine … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#52
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#57
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
12/19 = 63.2%
Jasmine Paolini
Ranking
#8
UTR Rating
12.59 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
20/26 = 76.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -44.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.1538 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1.8718 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -3209.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -15.0952 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9.3478 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.7308 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 64.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 79.7619 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60.8696 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 73.3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 19.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2632 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.6333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.7500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7.0666 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 9.0100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1.4200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 6.9600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -9.5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4938 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1.7500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.7971 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.9333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 21.9446 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6.8250 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 28.2553 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1907 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2536 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5400 | |
| utr_advantage | -3.2284 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3840
API ID
13814637
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"api_id": 13814637,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Jasmine Paolini",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-27T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
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"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.59,
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"wr_surface_wins": 20,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 10
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"utr": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -3209,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
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"surface_wr_p2": 79.76190476190476,
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"surface_wr_p2_stable": 73.33333333333333,
"p1_surface_matches": 19,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2631578947368421,
"p1_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.75,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.066619047619049,
"first_serve_won_diff": 9.009999999999998,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.4200000000000017,
"bp_saved_diff": 6.959999999999994,
"bp_converted_diff": -9.500000000000007,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.493809523809524,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.75,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7971014492753623,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 21.944605807741578,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.824993355640748,
"surface_rank_synergy": 28.25529952751451,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.19066666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2536190476190475,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
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"utr_p2": 0.54,
"utr_advantage": -3.2284100080710276,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0182",
"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0121",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
"utr_p1": "0.0149",
"utr_p2": "0.012",
"utr_advantage": "0.0633",
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}