Daniil Medvedev vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Madrid | Clay | Round of 32
27 Apr 2025, 14:25
27 Apr 2025, 14:25
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Juan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
15.94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
18/27 = 66.7%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
14.70 Pro
UTR Ranking
#129
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
77/116 = 66.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 72.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 6.5385 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.8777 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2050.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 70.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1.7177 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1.2513 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.2328 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65.1705 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66.8882 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64.5161 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 65.8333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 116.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.7062 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2.2900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3.3200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2.6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.2466 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 42.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -56.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -29.8000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.0737 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.0652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.6154 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.3028 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.3678 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -3.2254 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.0797 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2409 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -3.4355 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1.2400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.7882 | |
| utr_advantage | 8.0940 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1073
utr_advantage
0.0633
utr_diff
0.0422
surface_rank_synergy
0.0278
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0246
elite_surface_amplifier
0.0231
points_diff
0.0218
utr_both_pro
0.0203
rank_ratio
0.0183
rank_advantage
0.0182
Info del Partido
Match ID
3846
API ID
13773870
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
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"api_id": 13773870,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
"player2": "Juan Manuel Cerundolo",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-27T14:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
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"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 70,
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"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 116,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.7061606437041164,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.7999999999999972,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.2900000000000063,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.3200000000000074,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.6000000000000014,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.24658032185206125,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
"momentum_p1": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -55.99999999999998,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -29.799999999999997,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0736842105263158,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.065217391304348,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6153846153846154,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.302787486783823,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.367816091954026,
"surface_rank_synergy": -3.2254115694991325,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.0797045454545453,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2408819875776398,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -3.4354884246188817,
"utr_diff": 1.2400000000000002,
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"utr_advantage": 8.093994778067886,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0183",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.017",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0156",
"points_diff": "0.0218",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0153",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1073",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0246",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0131",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0126",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0118",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0119",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0127",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0129",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0146",
"p1_confidence": "0.0153",
"p2_confidence": "0.0103",
"combined_confidence": "0.0119",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0128",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0129",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0117",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.012",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0124",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0121",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0109",
"momentum_diff": "0.0138",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.013",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0153",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0134",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0115",
"match_load_p1": "0.0128",
"match_load_p2": "0.013",
"match_load_diff": "0.0118",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0148",
"h2h_matches": "0.0081",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0143",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0079",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.013",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0138",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0126",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0116",
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"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0278",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0127",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0135",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0231",
"utr_diff": "0.0422",
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"utr_p2": "0.012",
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}