Jessica Pegula vs Moyuka Uchijima
Madrid | Clay | Round of 32
27 Abr 2025, 16:40
27 Abr 2025, 16:40
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Moyuka … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
5/9 = 55,6%
Moyuka Uchijima
Ranking
#88
UTR Rating
11,46 Pro
UTR Ranking
#280
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
5/11 = 45,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 82,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 14,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,6856 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4631,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 44,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7,0707 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,9739 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5789 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 53,8889 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 46,8182 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,8261 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 11,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0909 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4467 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5400 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 2,4774 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 6,0100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,8200 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,7200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -0,8100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1408 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 5,4600 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0345 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7945 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,5622 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4822 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 18,9889 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0431 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0502 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 21,2121 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 1,2900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4071 | |
| utr_advantage | 10,6568 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3852
API ID
13816410
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3852,
"api_id": 13816410,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Moyuka Uchijima",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-27T12:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 88,
"utr_singles": 11.46,
"utr_ranking": 280,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.75,
"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.46,
"ranking": 280,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 14.666666666666666,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.6855773452501515,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 4631,
"best_rank_diff": 44,
"surface_wr_diff": 7.070707070707073,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.973913043478261,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5789473684210527,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 53.888888888888886,
"surface_wr_p2": 46.81818181818181,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.333333333333336,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.82608695652174,
"p1_surface_matches": 11,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.09090909090909091,
"p1_confidence": 0.44666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.54,
"serve_quality_diff": 2.4774343434343393,
"first_serve_won_diff": 6.009999999999998,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.8199999999999932,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.720000000000006,
"bp_converted_diff": -0.8100000000000023,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1407828282828285,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": -10.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 5.460000000000008,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0344827586206897,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7945205479452054,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.562217912846032,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.482242049602419,
"surface_rank_synergy": 18.988930723990975,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.04311111111111121,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.050181818181818216,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 21.212121212121218,
"utr_diff": 1.2899999999999991,
"utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
"utr_p2": 0.40705882352941186,
"utr_advantage": 10.65675340768277,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}