Alex de Minaur vs Denis Shapovalov
Madrid | Clay | Round of 32
29 Abr 2025, 14:00
29 Abr 2025, 14:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Denis … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/15 = 66,7%
Denis Shapovalov
Ranking
#23
UTR Rating
15,35 Pro
UTR Ranking
#42
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
2/7 = 28,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 17,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,8333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3437 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 2430,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 4,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,0303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,0374 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6667 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,6364 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 18,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -10,6972 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,7900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,6300 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,2600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,0921 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 42,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 26,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 36,6300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8992 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,6593 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,2076 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,1264 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 44,3840 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1497 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1466 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 66,0606 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8647 | |
| utr_advantage | 3,4571 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3874
API ID
13773863
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3874,
"api_id": 13773863,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Denis Shapovalov",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-29T10:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 23,
"utr_singles": 15.35,
"utr_ranking": 42,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 28.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 42,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 3.8333333333333335,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3437347467010947,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"points_diff": 2430,
"best_rank_diff": 4,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.030303030303024,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.03743315508021,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.63636363636363,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.909090909090914,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 18,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6,
"combined_confidence": 0.8,
"serve_quality_diff": -10.697242424242432,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.7900000000000063,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0600000000000023,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.629999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.259999999999998,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.092121212121212,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 42.00000000000001,
"momentum_diff": 25.999999999999993,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 36.63000000000002,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8991935483870968,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.6593406593406594,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.207619502152681,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.126380715678063,
"surface_rank_synergy": 44.383965875884634,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1496666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.14663636363636368,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 66.06060606060605,
"utr_diff": 0.5400000000000009,
"utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_p2": 0.8647058823529411,
"utr_advantage": 3.457106274007688,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}