Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini
Madrid | Clay | Round of 32
29 Apr 2025, 13:20
29 Apr 2025, 13:20
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking
#10
UTR Rating
16.14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
17/28 = 60.7%
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking
#56
UTR Rating
15.78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
19/23 = 82.6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 46.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 5.6000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.7228 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3.0000 | |
| points_diff | 2045.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 2.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -3.1250 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -15.6424 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.2174 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 68.1250 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59.3750 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 77.7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 23.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.2143 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.7667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.8500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 3.0880 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.3100 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10.0600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -6.0400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 5.2000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0.3625 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 62.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -10.5700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1.0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.4384 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.8462 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.5940 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4.4506 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5.3836 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.1040 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2273 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -9.3750 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.9576 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.9153 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.2556 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3903
API ID
13773862
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 3903,
"api_id": 13773862,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jack Draper",
"player2": "Matteo Berrettini",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-04-29T13:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
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"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 16.14,
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"wr_surface": 60.71428571428571,
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"wr_surface_total": 28,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 15.78,
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"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"p2": {
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"features": {
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"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 2045,
"best_rank_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -3.125,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.642361111111118,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2173913043478262,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 68.125,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 77.77777777777779,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 23,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.21428571428571427,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.85,
"serve_quality_diff": 3.0880000000000223,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.309999999999988,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.060000000000002,
"bp_saved_diff": -6.040000000000006,
"bp_converted_diff": 5.199999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.3625000000000007,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 62.000000000000014,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -10.570000000000007,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4383561643835616,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8461538461538461,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.59401428396638,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.450580312546033,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.383645617940949,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.10399999999999998,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22725000000000006,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -9.375,
"utr_diff": 0.3600000000000012,
"utr_p1": 0.9576470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.9152941176470587,
"utr_advantage": 2.2556390977443685,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}