Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima
Madrid | Clay | Round of 16
29 Abr 2025, 21:00
29 Abr 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Daniil … | Brandon … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
15,81 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
7/11 = 63,6%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking
#30
UTR Rating
15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#33
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 18,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,5000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,9163 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1375,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 28,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 15,6705 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,7903 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,7941 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,1705 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 49,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,5161 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,2632 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -5,7366 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4600 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,0600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,0200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,7683 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 2,2640 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0737 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,3495 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5455 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,0687 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,4785 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 14,3587 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1337 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0130 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 15,6705 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9188 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8718 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,5625 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3906
API ID
13773887
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3906,
"api_id": 13773887,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
"player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-29T17:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.81,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 30,
"utr_singles": 15.41,
"utr_ranking": 33,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 8,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 33,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 2.5,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.9162907318741551,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 1375,
"best_rank_diff": 28,
"surface_wr_diff": 15.670454545454533,
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"surface_matches_ratio": 0.7941176470588235,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 49.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.51612903225806,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.26315789473685,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 34,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"serve_quality_diff": -5.736590909090907,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.45999999999999375,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.09999999999999432,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.0600000000000023,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.020000000000003,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.768295454545454,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 70.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 2.26400000000001,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0736842105263158,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3495145631067962,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.068730190041679,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.478500871819659,
"surface_rank_synergy": 14.358692264255215,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13370454545454535,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.013000000000000012,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 15.670454545454533,
"utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
"utr_p1": 0.9188235294117648,
"utr_p2": 0.871764705882353,
"utr_advantage": 2.562459961563103,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}