Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon Nakashima
Madrid | Clay | Round of 16
29 Abr 2025, 21:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Daniil … Brandon … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Daniil Medvedev
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 15,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 7/11 = 63,6%
Brandon Nakashima
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #33
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 18,0000
rank_ratio 2,5000
log_rank_ratio 0,9163
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1375,0000
best_rank_diff 28,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 15,6705
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 8,7903
surface_matches_ratio 0,7941
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,1705
surface_wr_p2 49,5000
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,5161
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,2632
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 34,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3333
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -5,7366
first_serve_won_diff -0,4600
second_serve_won_diff 0,1000
bp_saved_diff -3,0600
bp_converted_diff -2,0200
aces_per_match_diff -2,7683
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 70,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 2,2640
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0737
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,3495
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 9,0687
serve_consistency_p2 10,4785
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 14,3587
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1337
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0130
elite_surface_amplifier 15,6705
UTR
utr_diff 0,4000
utr_p1 0,9188
utr_p2 0,8718
utr_advantage 2,5625
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3906
API ID 13773887
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3906,
    "api_id": 13773887,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Daniil Medvedev",
    "player2": "Brandon Nakashima",
    "tournament": "Madrid",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-04-29T17:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 15.81,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.63636363636363,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 30,
      "utr_singles": 15.41,
      "utr_ranking": 33,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.81,
      "ranking": 8,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.41,
      "ranking": 33,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": 18,
    "rank_ratio": 2.5,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.9162907318741551,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "points_diff": 1375,
    "best_rank_diff": 28,
    "surface_wr_diff": 15.670454545454533,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.790322580645153,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7941176470588235,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.17045454545453,
    "surface_wr_p2": 49.5,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.51612903225806,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.26315789473685,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 34,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "serve_quality_diff": -5.736590909090907,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -0.45999999999999375,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0.09999999999999432,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.0600000000000023,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.020000000000003,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.768295454545454,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 70.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 2.26400000000001,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0736842105263158,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.3495145631067962,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.068730190041679,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.478500871819659,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 14.358692264255215,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.13370454545454535,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.013000000000000012,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 15.670454545454533,
    "utr_diff": 0.40000000000000036,
    "utr_p1": 0.9188235294117648,
    "utr_p2": 0.871764705882353,
    "utr_advantage": 2.562459961563103,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}