Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Madrid | Clay | Round of 16
30 Abr 2025, 15:00
30 Abr 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Frances … | Matteo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking
#34
UTR Rating
15,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#62
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
11/18 = 61,1%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking
#65
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
7/13 = 53,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 31,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,9118 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,6480 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 642,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 2,9324 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,7382 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9063 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 56,4141 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 53,4818 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 54,5455 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 52,7778 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 29,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1034 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 5,9335 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,1400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 7,9900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,3800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,1400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,9832 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -4,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,3077 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,4819 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8594 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,3624 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,9002 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0331 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0658 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,9324 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8447 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,1318 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3908
API ID
13773872
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3908,
"api_id": 13773872,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Frances Tiafoe",
"player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-30T11:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.18,
"utr_ranking": 62,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 18,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 65,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 53.84615384615385,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 62,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 70,
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},
"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.6480267452794758,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 642,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"surface_wr_diff": 2.932360037623198,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.7382154882154819,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.90625,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 53.481781376518214,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 54.54545454545454,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 52.77777777777778,
"p1_surface_matches": 29,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.10344827586206896,
"p1_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9833333333333334,
"serve_quality_diff": 5.933470371733534,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.1400000000000006,
"second_serve_won_diff": 7.989999999999988,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.379999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.1399999999999935,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.9832351858667652,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -17.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -4.469999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.3076923076923077,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4818652849740932,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.859398960611204,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.362441659219576,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.9002477311685622,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03314141414141414,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06581781376518214,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.932360037623198,
"utr_diff": 0.019999999999999574,
"utr_p1": 0.8447058823529412,
"utr_p2": 0.8423529411764706,
"utr_advantage": 0.13183915622939732,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}