Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Madrid | Clay | Round of 16
30 Apr 2025, 11:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Frances … Matteo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Frances Tiafoe
Ranking #30
UTR Rating 15.43 Pro
UTR Ranking #64
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 16/29 = 55.2%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 17/32 = 53.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 31.0000
rank_ratio 2.0333
log_rank_ratio 0.7097
rank_tier_advantage 1.0000
points_diff 627.0000
best_rank_diff 20.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 2.9324
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1.7382
surface_matches_ratio 0.9063
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 56.4141
surface_wr_p2 53.4818
surface_wr_p1_stable 54.5455
surface_wr_p2_stable 52.7778
p1_surface_matches 29.0000
p2_surface_matches 32.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.1034
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.9667
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.9833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 5.9335
first_serve_won_diff 3.1400
second_serve_won_diff 7.9900
bp_saved_diff -11.3800
bp_converted_diff -6.1400
aces_per_match_diff 0.9832
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff -0.3333
momentum_p1 72.0000
momentum_p2 90.0000
momentum_diff -18.0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1.2740
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2.0000
match_load_p1 2.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.3077
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.4819
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 10.8594
serve_consistency_p2 7.3624
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2.0810
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0331
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0658
elite_surface_amplifier 2.9324
UTR
utr_diff 0.0100
utr_p1 0.8741
utr_p2 0.8729
utr_advantage 0.0648
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3908
API ID 13773872
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
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    "player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
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    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2025-04-30T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
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