Aryna Sabalenka vs Peyton Stearns
Madrid | Clay | Round of 16
29 Abr 2025, 22:00
29 Abr 2025, 22:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Peyton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
15/17 = 88,2%
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
8/11 = 72,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 68,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 4,2195 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 3,0000 | |
| points_diff | 10003,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 14,9365 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 13,1452 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,2593 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 86,4706 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 71,5341 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81,5789 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 67,7419 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,7059 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6,1709 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,3200 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 4,2700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,8800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 3,5600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3650 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 90,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -10,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2770 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7752 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,7948 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9908 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 63,0247 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2977 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2823 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 44,8095 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,9000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,1885 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3911
API ID
13821640
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3911,
"api_id": 13821640,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Peyton Stearns",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-29T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 88.23529411764706,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 68.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 4.219507705176107,
"rank_tier_advantage": 3,
"points_diff": 10003,
"best_rank_diff": 27,
"surface_wr_diff": 14.93649732620321,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.145161290322589,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.2592592592592593,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 86.47058823529412,
"surface_wr_p2": 71.5340909090909,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 67.74193548387096,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.170946524064163,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.32,
"second_serve_won_diff": 4.269999999999996,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.88000000000001,
"bp_converted_diff": 3.5600000000000023,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3649732620320858,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 89.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -9.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7751937984496124,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.79476418325535,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.9907655685123835,
"surface_rank_synergy": 63.024665556256764,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.29770588235294126,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28234090909090903,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 44.80949197860963,
"utr_diff": 0.9000000000000004,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_advantage": 7.188498402555914,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}