Madison Keys vs Iga Swiatek
Madrid | Clay | Quarterfinals
30 Abr 2025, 15:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Madison … Iga … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Madison Keys
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 8/11 = 72,7%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 12,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #3
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 10/13 = 76,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -7,0000
rank_ratio 0,2222
log_rank_ratio -1,5041
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -4217,0000
best_rank_diff -4,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,3621
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,9447
surface_matches_ratio 0,7105
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 75,2841
surface_wr_p2 82,6462
surface_wr_p1_stable 74,1935
surface_wr_p2_stable 85,7143
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 38,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5556
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,3009
first_serve_won_diff 1,6100
second_serve_won_diff -4,3200
bp_saved_diff 1,1900
bp_converted_diff -5,0100
aces_per_match_diff 1,3960
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0548
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,2652
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 9,5960
serve_consistency_p2 7,9191
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,0731
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2598
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3195
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4000
utr_p1 0,5294
utr_p2 0,5765
utr_advantage -3,1496
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3913
API ID 13832051
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3913,
    "api_id": 13832051,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Madison Keys",
    "player2": "Iga Swiatek",
    "tournament": "Madrid",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-04-30T11:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 12.9,
      "utr_ranking": 3,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.92307692307693,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.9,
      "ranking": 3,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_ratio": 0.2222222222222222,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.5040773967762742,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -4217,
    "best_rank_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.3620629370629445,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.944700460829493,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7105263157894737,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 75.2840909090909,
    "surface_wr_p2": 82.64615384615385,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 74.19354838709677,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.71428571428571,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 38,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.5555555555555556,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.3009475524475533,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.6099999999999994,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.32,
    "bp_saved_diff": 1.190000000000012,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.010000000000005,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.3959737762237763,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0547945205479452,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2651515151515151,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.595975022129721,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.919122033911598,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.073112457280725,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.25984090909090907,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.31946153846153846,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.40000000000000036,
    "utr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
    "utr_p2": 0.5764705882352942,
    "utr_advantage": -3.1496062992126013,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}