Alex de Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti
Madrid | Clay | Round of 16
01 May 2025, 00:55
01 May 2025, 00:55
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alex … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/15 = 66,7%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
19/23 = 82,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,1823 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -25,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -10,4451 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,2032 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5882 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77,1118 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,7059 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,7040 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -0,4900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,0500 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9400 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,4100 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,4330 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | -1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8992 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,5098 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,2000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,1935 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,9533 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,9044 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1677 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2701 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9282 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,7581 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3934
API ID
13773884
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3934,
"api_id": 13773884,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Alex de Minaur",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-04-30T20:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.89,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 82.6086956521739,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.8333333333333334,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.1823215567939546,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": -25,
"best_rank_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": -10.445134575569355,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.2032085561497325,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5882352941176471,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 77.11180124223601,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.9090909090909,
"p1_surface_matches": 30,
"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.7039958592132507,
"first_serve_won_diff": -0.4899999999999949,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.049999999999997,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.9399999999999977,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.409999999999997,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.433002070393375,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": -1,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8991935483870968,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5098039215686274,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.2,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.193455445285139,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.953261858762749,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.904373196740167,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16766666666666652,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2701180124223601,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.120000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.9282352941176472,
"utr_p2": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 0.7580543272267909,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 0,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}