Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk
Madrid | Clay | Quarterfinals
30 Abr 2025, 22:00
30 Abr 2025, 22:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Marta … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
15/17 = 88,2%
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking
#20
UTR Rating
12,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#14
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
6/9 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 19,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 20,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,9957 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 9007,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 15,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 24,8039 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 19,1416 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 86,4706 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 61,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81,5789 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 57,1429 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,7059 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,1043 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 4,0800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,2600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10,4700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,4200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,3712 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2770 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6954 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2857 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,5335 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,1033 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 74,3059 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,3457 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1357 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 24,8039 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5424 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,8147 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3938
API ID
13832926
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3938,
"api_id": 13832926,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Marta Kostyuk",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2025-04-30T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 88.23529411764706,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 20,
"utr_singles": 12.61,
"utr_ranking": 14,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 14,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 20.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.995732273553991,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"points_diff": 9007,
"best_rank_diff": 15,
"surface_wr_diff": 24.80392156862746,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 19.141604010025066,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 86.47058823529412,
"surface_wr_p2": 61.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.1043202614379055,
"first_serve_won_diff": 4.079999999999998,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.259999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.470000000000013,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.420000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.3711601307189545,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": 3,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.695364238410596,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.533461458785826,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.103343296170807,
"surface_rank_synergy": 74.30590835383921,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3457058823529412,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1356666666666666,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 24.80392156862746,
"utr_diff": 0.3600000000000012,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5423529411764705,
"utr_advantage": 2.814698983580932,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}