Aryna Sabalenka vs Marta Kostyuk
Madrid | Clay | Quarterfinals
30 Apr 2025, 18:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aryna … Marta … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 29/34 = 85.3%
Marta Kostyuk
Ranking #26
UTR Rating 12.53 Pro
UTR Ranking #19
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 10/17 = 58.8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 25.0000
rank_ratio 26.0000
log_rank_ratio 3.2581
rank_tier_advantage 2.0000
points_diff 9211.0000
best_rank_diff 15.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 24.8039
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 19.1416
surface_matches_ratio 2.0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1.0000
surface_wr_p1 86.4706
surface_wr_p2 61.6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 81.5789
surface_wr_p2_stable 57.1429
p1_surface_matches 34.0000
p2_surface_matches 17.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.7059
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.5667
combined_confidence 0.7833
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 4.1043
first_serve_won_diff 4.0800
second_serve_won_diff -2.2600
bp_saved_diff 10.4700
bp_converted_diff 6.4200
aces_per_match_diff 1.3712
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 92.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0.0000
match_load_p1 6.0000
match_load_p2 3.0000
match_load_diff 3.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.2770
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0.6954
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.8333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.2857
serve_consistency_p1 9.5335
serve_consistency_p2 6.1033
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 80.8136
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.3397
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1417
elite_surface_amplifier 49.6078
UTR
utr_diff 0.4400
utr_p1 0.5847
utr_p2 0.5329
utr_advantage 3.4510
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3938
API ID 13832926
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 3938,
    "api_id": 13832926,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
    "player2": "Marta Kostyuk",
    "tournament": "Madrid",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-04-30T18:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
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      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
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    "p1_surface_matches": 34,
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    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
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    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
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    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
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    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
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