Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi
Madrid | Clay | Quarterfinals
01 May 2025, 15:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jack … Matteo … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 16.14 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 17/28 = 60.7%
Matteo Arnaldi
Ranking #61
UTR Rating 15.42 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 17/32 = 53.1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 51.0000
rank_ratio 6.1000
log_rank_ratio 1.8083
rank_tier_advantage 3.0000
points_diff 2107.0000
best_rank_diff 26.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 11.5182
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6.3773
surface_matches_ratio 0.8750
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0.0000
surface_wr_p1 65.0000
surface_wr_p2 53.4818
surface_wr_p1_stable 59.3750
surface_wr_p2_stable 52.7778
p1_surface_matches 28.0000
p2_surface_matches 32.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.2143
Confianza
p1_confidence 0.9333
p2_confidence 1.0000
combined_confidence 0.9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 6.9618
first_serve_won_diff 6.0700
second_serve_won_diff 9.0800
bp_saved_diff -8.6600
bp_converted_diff -5.0600
aces_per_match_diff 0.6014
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 92.0000
momentum_p2 98.0000
momentum_diff -6.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff -1.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 3.0000
match_load_p2 4.0000
match_load_diff -1.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.4384
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.4819
tiebreak_wr_p1 0.6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.5000
serve_consistency_p1 8.5889
serve_consistency_p2 9.0141
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20.8283
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.0990
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.0858
elite_surface_amplifier 34.5547
UTR
utr_diff 0.7200
utr_p1 0.9576
utr_p2 0.8729
utr_advantage 4.5627
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3946
API ID 13773879
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
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  "match": {
    "id": 3946,
    "api_id": 13773879,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jack Draper",
    "player2": "Matteo Arnaldi",
    "tournament": "Madrid",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-05-01T15:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
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      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
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    },
    "tnnslive": {
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    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
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