Jack Draper vs Lorenzo Musetti
Madrid | Clay | Semifinals
02 May 2025, 22:00
02 May 2025, 22:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jack … | Lorenzo … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking
#11
UTR Rating
15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#6
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
12/16 = 75,0%
Lorenzo Musetti
Ranking
#5
UTR Rating
15,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
19/23 = 82,6%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -6,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4545 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7885 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1115,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -12,1118 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,1496 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5490 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 77,1118 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 59,3750 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,9091 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 51,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2143 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9667 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,6003 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,4100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,3900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,4900 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,0637 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,4384 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,5098 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5385 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,0322 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7468 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 9,5496 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2651 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9141 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8210 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
3957
API ID
13773871
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3957,
"api_id": 13773871,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Jack Draper",
"player2": "Lorenzo Musetti",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2025-05-02T18:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 11,
"utr_singles": 15.9,
"utr_ranking": 6,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 5,
"utr_singles": 15.77,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 82.6086956521739,
"wr_surface_wins": 19,
"wr_surface_total": 23,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.9,
"ranking": 6,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.77,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.45454545454545453,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7884573603642702,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"points_diff": -1115,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -12.111801242236012,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.14962121212121,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5490196078431373,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 77.11180124223601,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.9090909090909,
"p1_surface_matches": 28,
"p2_surface_matches": 51,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.21428571428571427,
"p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.600329192546596,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.1000000000000085,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.410000000000004,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.39000000000000057,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.490000000000002,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.0636645962732914,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4383561643835616,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.5098039215686274,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5384615384615384,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.032213440352209,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.746840423893053,
"surface_rank_synergy": 9.549638836710095,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.15600000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2651180124223601,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.13000000000000078,
"utr_p1": 0.9294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.9141176470588235,
"utr_advantage": 0.8209662140827331,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}