Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco Gauff
Madrid | Clay | Final
03 May 2025, 16:30
03 May 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | Coco … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Clay
29/34 = 85.3%
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12.79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#5
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
30/36 = 83.3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1.0986 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 4107.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0.8978 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1.5789 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.9444 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 86.4706 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 85.5728 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.5789 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 80.0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 34.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 36.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.7059 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1.9659 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1.3400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0.9700 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 10.8500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.8600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4635 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0.0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.2770 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7460 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.8333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6.9972 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8.3455 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0.9864 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3627 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.3577 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.1800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5635 | |
| utr_advantage | 1.3975 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
3963
API ID
13841250
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Madrid
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 3963,
"api_id": 13841250,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Aryna Sabalenka",
"player2": "Coco Gauff",
"tournament": "Madrid",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Final",
"date": "2025-05-03T16:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 1,
"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 2,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 85.29411764705883,
"wr_surface_wins": 29,
"wr_surface_total": 34,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.79,
"utr_ranking": 5,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 83.33333333333334,
"wr_surface_wins": 30,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.97,
"ranking": 2,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.79,
"ranking": 5,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": 2,
"rank_ratio": 3.0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.0986122886681098,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 4107,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.8978328173374592,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.5789473684210549,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9444444444444444,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_p1": 86.47058823529412,
"surface_wr_p2": 85.57275541795666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 81.57894736842105,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 80.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 34,
"p2_surface_matches": 36,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.7058823529411765,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.9659349845201106,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.3400000000000034,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.970000000000006,
"bp_saved_diff": 10.850000000000009,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.859999999999999,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4634674922600626,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.276978417266187,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.746031746031746,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8333333333333334,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.997183521188456,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.345539353766577,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.986370166296443,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3627058823529412,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.3577275541795666,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.1800000000000015,
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.5635294117647058,
"utr_advantage": 1.3975155279503222,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}