Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper
Madrid | Clay | Final
04 May 2025, 20:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Casper … Jack … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casper Ruud
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #22
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 14/19 = 73,7%
Jack Draper
Ranking #11
UTR Rating 15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #6
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 12/16 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2,0000
rank_ratio 0,8462
log_rank_ratio -0,1671
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -195,0000
best_rank_diff 2,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9,8048
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,2091
surface_matches_ratio 1,7857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3,0000
surface_wr_p1 74,8048
surface_wr_p2 65,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 74,0741
surface_wr_p2_stable 59,3750
p1_surface_matches 50,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,5200
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8,5233
first_serve_won_diff -6,2400
second_serve_won_diff -8,4800
bp_saved_diff 3,6500
bp_converted_diff 4,3900
aces_per_match_diff -1,4296
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0810
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,4384
tiebreak_wr_p1 1,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6364
serve_consistency_p1 6,2607
serve_consistency_p2 3,4959
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,6379
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,2500
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1480
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3300
utr_p1 0,8906
utr_p2 0,9294
utr_advantage -2,0972
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 3965
API ID 13773922
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3965,
    "api_id": 13773922,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Casper Ruud",
    "player2": "Jack Draper",
    "tournament": "Madrid",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-05-04T16:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 22,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 73.68421052631578,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 11,
      "utr_singles": 15.9,
      "utr_ranking": 6,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 22,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.9,
      "ranking": 6,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -2,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8461538461538461,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.1670540846631662,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "points_diff": -195,
    "best_rank_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.804753820033937,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.209104938271608,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7857142857142858,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.80475382003394,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 74.07407407407408,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.52,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.523252971137524,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.239999999999995,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.479999999999997,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.6500000000000057,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.390000000000001,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4296264855687606,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0809716599190284,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4383561643835616,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.260651967661949,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.4959436332182996,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.6379241747534516,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2500475382003394,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14800000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.33000000000000007,
    "utr_p1": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.9294117647058824,
    "utr_advantage": -2.097235462345091,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0208",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
  }
}