Casper Ruud vs Jack Draper
Madrid | Clay | Final
04 May 2025, 16:30
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Casper … Jack … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Casper Ruud
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 15.99 Pro
UTR Ranking #12
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 38/50 = 76.0%
Jack Draper
Ranking #10
UTR Rating 16.14 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 17/28 = 60.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -2.0000
rank_ratio 0.8333
log_rank_ratio -0.1823
rank_tier_advantage -1.0000
points_diff -155.0000
best_rank_diff 2.0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 9.8048
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14.2091
surface_matches_ratio 1.7857
surface_tournaments_won_diff 3.0000
surface_wr_p1 74.8048
surface_wr_p2 65.0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 74.0741
surface_wr_p2_stable 59.3750
p1_surface_matches 50.0000
p2_surface_matches 28.0000
p1_surface_dominance 0.5200
Confianza
p1_confidence 1.0000
p2_confidence 0.9333
combined_confidence 0.9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -8.5233
first_serve_won_diff -6.2400
second_serve_won_diff -8.4800
bp_saved_diff 3.6500
bp_converted_diff 4.3900
aces_per_match_diff -1.4296
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0.0000
last3_wr_diff 0.0000
momentum_p1 100.0000
momentum_p2 100.0000
momentum_diff 0.0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0.0000
current_streak_diff 0.0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2.0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1.0000
match_load_p1 5.0000
match_load_p2 5.0000
match_load_diff 0.0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0.0000
h2h_matches 0.0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0.5000
h2h_on_surface 0.0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0.5000
h2h_confidence_score 0.0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1.0810
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1.4384
tiebreak_wr_p1 1.0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0.6364
serve_consistency_p1 6.2607
serve_consistency_p2 3.4959
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1.7876
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0.2500
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0.1480
elite_surface_amplifier 0.0000
UTR
utr_diff -0.1500
utr_p1 0.9400
utr_p2 0.9576
utr_advantage -0.9337
utr_both_pro 1.0000
utr_available 1.0000
utr_expected_prob 0.0000
utr_closeness 0.0000
utr_data_quality 0.0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff 0.1032
surface_rank_synergy 0.0540
points_diff 0.0344
utr_diff 0.0324
utr_advantage 0.0308
rank_tier_advantage 0.0300
rank_advantage 0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0.0206
log_rank_ratio 0.0186
utr_available 0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID 3965
API ID 13773922
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Madrid
Superficie Clay
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 3965,
    "api_id": 13773922,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Casper Ruud",
    "player2": "Jack Draper",
    "tournament": "Madrid",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2025-05-04T16:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 15.99,
      "utr_ranking": 12,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 76.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 38,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 10,
      "utr_singles": 16.14,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 60.71428571428571,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 28,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
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  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -155,
    "best_rank_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 9.804753820033937,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.209104938271608,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.7857142857142858,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 74.80475382003394,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 74.07407407407408,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 59.375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 50,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.52,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": -8.523252971137524,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -6.239999999999995,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -8.479999999999997,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.6500000000000057,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.390000000000001,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.4296264855687606,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0809716599190284,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.4383561643835616,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.260651967661949,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.4959436332182996,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.7876179804500607,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2500475382003394,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14800000000000002,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.15000000000000036,
    "utr_p1": 0.9400000000000001,
    "utr_p2": 0.9576470588235295,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9337068160597592,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
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  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0154",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
    "points_diff": "0.0344",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0145",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0121",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0143",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
    "momentum_p1": "0.013",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0115",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0127",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
    "match_load_p1": "0.012",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0124",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0123",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0152",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
    "utr_diff": "0.0324",
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    "utr_p2": "0.0115",
    "utr_advantage": "0.0308",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
    "utr_available": "0.0172"
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}