Thiago Monteiro vs Federico Arnaboldi
Rome | Clay | Qualification Round 1
05 May 2025, 16:00
05 May 2025, 16:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Thiago … | Federico … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Thiago Monteiro
Ranking
#197
UTR Rating
14.14 Pro
UTR Ranking
#309
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Clay
54/92 = 58.7%
Federico Arnaboldi
Ranking
#390
UTR Rating
13.82 Pro
UTR Ranking
#472
Forma L5
0% (1p)
Forma L10
0% (1p)
WR Clay
36/67 = 53.7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 193.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.9797 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.6829 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1.0000 | |
| points_diff | 178.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 122.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 10.4033 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4.8122 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.3731 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 54.3901 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43.9869 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 58.3333 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53.5211 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 92.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 67.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1739 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7.8267 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 8.2700 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2.5300 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0.2200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.2200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1.4664 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 38.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 38.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 31.8300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 119.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.5798 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6129 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5625 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5.8716 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 7.1048 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.1491 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1329 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 10.4033 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.7224 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.6847 | |
| utr_advantage | 2.2890 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4006
API ID
13852534
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 4006,
"api_id": 13852534,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Thiago Monteiro",
"player2": "Federico Arnaboldi",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2025-05-05T16:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.14,
"utr_ranking": 309,
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"wr_surface": 58.69565217391305,
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"wr_surface_total": 92,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 13.82,
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"wr_surface": 53.73134328358209,
"wr_surface_wins": 36,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
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"form_l10_matches": 1
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},
"utr": {
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"best_rank_diff": 122,
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"p1_surface_matches": 92,
"p2_surface_matches": 67,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.17391304347826086,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.826717885792995,
"first_serve_won_diff": 8.269999999999996,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.529999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.21999999999999886,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.220000000000006,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.4663589428965005,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 38.0,
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"momentum_diff": 38.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 31.83,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 119,
"match_load_p1": 2,
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"match_load_diff": 2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5798319327731093,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6129032258064516,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.871566488176436,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 7.104834625930264,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.14909871855719048,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13286866791744845,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 10.40326135253612,
"utr_diff": 0.3200000000000003,
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"utr_p2": 0.6847058823529412,
"utr_advantage": 2.2889842632331923,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}