Sara Errani vs Naomi Osaka
Rome | Clay | Round of 128
07 May 2025, 09:00
07 May 2025, 09:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sara … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sara Errani
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11.75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#163
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
22% (9p)
WR Clay
12/21 = 57.1%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#16
UTR Rating
12.60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#12
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
13/20 = 65.0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sara Errani
Record 2025
3W - 9L (25%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12.0
Últimos 5:
L
W
L
L
L
Naomi Osaka
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -484.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0320 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3.4420 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4.0000 | |
| points_diff | -2487.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -499.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -30.6640 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -4.4417 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36.9118 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 67.5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 56.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62.5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 21.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.7000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0.6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.6833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -22.6545 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -19.5800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3.0600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13.3200 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3.7800 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5.9733 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.8000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 8.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -92.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -62.8650 | |
| current_streak_diff | -8.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 16.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -5.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.5238 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.8939 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8.9576 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5.3730 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 105.5461 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3531 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.3082 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.8500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4412 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -6.9815 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4073
API ID
13854779
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 128
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
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"id": 4073,
"api_id": 13854779,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sara Errani",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 128",
"date": "2025-05-07T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 11.75,
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"utr_v4_wins": 3,
"utr_v4_losses": 9,
"utr_v4_wr": 25.0,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.95,
"utr_v4_recent": [
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"win": false,
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"opponent_name": "Anna-Lena Friedsam"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.57,
"opponent_name": "Jule Niemeier"
},
{
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"opponent_utr": 12.6,
"opponent_name": "Naomi Osaka"
},
{
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"opponent_utr": 12.19,
"opponent_name": "Maya Joint"
},
{
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"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:29.617987+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 21,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 22.22222222222222,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 9
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"p2": {
"ranking": 16,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 12,
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"wr_surface": 65.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
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},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 163,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 12,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
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"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.032,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.4420193761824103,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"points_diff": -2487,
"best_rank_diff": -499,
"surface_wr_diff": -30.66399286987523,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -4.441666666666662,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.05,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.91176470588235,
"surface_wr_p2": 67.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 56.00000000000001,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 21,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.14285714285714285,
"p1_confidence": 0.7,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.6833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -22.65452406417112,
"first_serve_won_diff": -19.58,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.0600000000000023,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.319999999999993,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.780000000000001,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.973262032085561,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.8,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"momentum_p1": 8.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -91.99999999999999,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -62.865,
"current_streak_diff": -8,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 16,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.5238095238095237,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8939393939393939,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 8.9575998842781,
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"surface_rank_synergy": 105.54605760922982,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3531176470588235,
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"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.8499999999999996,
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"utr_advantage": -6.981519507186855,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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