Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev
Rome | Clay | Round of 64
09 May 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Camilo … Alexander … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking #122
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Clay 22/36 = 61,1%
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,85 Pro
UTR Ranking #8
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Clay 18/25 = 72,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -46,0000
rank_ratio 0,0612
log_rank_ratio -2,7932
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -4077,0000
best_rank_diff -41,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -11,2837
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -9,4828
surface_matches_ratio 2,0741
surface_tournaments_won_diff 2,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,9094
surface_wr_p2 74,1931
surface_wr_p1_stable 64,6552
surface_wr_p2_stable 74,1379
p1_surface_matches 112,0000
p2_surface_matches 54,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3036
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,2649
first_serve_won_diff -3,3400
second_serve_won_diff -10,9400
bp_saved_diff 0,4000
bp_converted_diff 0,7000
aces_per_match_diff -3,1564
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 68,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,5310
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 10,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5417
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1017
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5405
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8095
serve_consistency_p1 12,2817
serve_consistency_p2 5,0338
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 31,5179
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1751
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1959
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,0700
utr_p1 0,7976
utr_p2 0,9235
utr_advantage -6,9866
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1048
utr_diff 0,0861
surface_wr_diff 0,0678
points_diff 0,0255
surface_rank_synergy 0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0231
utr_both_pro 0,0206
rank_ratio 0,0174
rank_advantage 0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID 4148
API ID 13838224
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rome
Superficie Clay
Ronda Round of 64
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 4148,
    "api_id": 13838224,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
    "player2": "Alexander Zverev",
    "tournament": "Rome",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Round of 64",
    "date": "2025-05-09T19:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 14.78,
      "utr_ranking": 122,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.85,
      "utr_ranking": 8,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 18,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.78,
      "ranking": 122,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.85,
      "ranking": 8,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "rank_advantage": -46,
    "rank_ratio": 0.061224489795918366,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.793208009442517,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "points_diff": -4077,
    "best_rank_diff": -41,
    "surface_wr_diff": -11.283746723129667,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.482758620689651,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.074074074074074,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.909356725146196,
    "surface_wr_p2": 74.19310344827586,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.65517241379311,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 74.13793103448276,
    "p1_surface_matches": 112,
    "p2_surface_matches": 54,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.30357142857142855,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.264871546682798,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.3400000000000034,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -10.939999999999998,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0.6999999999999957,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -3.1564357733414,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 68.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5310000000000059,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5416666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1017369727047146,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8095238095238095,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.281653075525854,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.033756887790247,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 31.51785172356654,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17509356725146197,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19593103448275861,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -1.0700000000000003,
    "utr_p1": 0.7976470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
    "utr_advantage": -6.986614430297096,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0
  },
  "feature_importance": {
    "rank_advantage": "0.0169",
    "rank_ratio": "0.0174",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
    "points_diff": "0.0255",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0121",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0124",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0106",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0126",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0104",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0107",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0107",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0098",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
    "utr_diff": "0.0861",
    "utr_p1": "0.0119",
    "utr_p2": "0.0107",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1048",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
    "utr_available": "0.0143"
  }
}