Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Zverev
Rome | Clay | Round of 64
09 May 2025, 23:00
09 May 2025, 23:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Camilo … | Alexander … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
14,78 Pro
UTR Ranking
#122
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
22/36 = 61,1%
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#8
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
18/25 = 72,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -46,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0612 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,7932 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -4077,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -41,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -11,2837 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -9,4828 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0741 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 62,9094 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 74,1931 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 64,6552 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 74,1379 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 112,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 54,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3036 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,2649 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,3400 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -10,9400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,1564 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,5310 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 10,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5417 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1017 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,5405 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8095 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,2817 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0338 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 31,5179 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1751 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1959 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,0700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9235 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,9866 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
4148
API ID
13838224
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4148,
"api_id": 13838224,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Camilo Ugo Carabelli",
"player2": "Alexander Zverev",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-05-09T19:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 14.78,
"utr_ranking": 122,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.111111111111114,
"wr_surface_wins": 22,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.85,
"utr_ranking": 8,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 122,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 8,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.061224489795918366,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.793208009442517,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -4077,
"best_rank_diff": -41,
"surface_wr_diff": -11.283746723129667,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -9.482758620689651,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.074074074074074,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_p1": 62.909356725146196,
"surface_wr_p2": 74.19310344827586,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 64.65517241379311,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 74.13793103448276,
"p1_surface_matches": 112,
"p2_surface_matches": 54,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.30357142857142855,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.264871546682798,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.3400000000000034,
"second_serve_won_diff": -10.939999999999998,
"bp_saved_diff": 0.4000000000000057,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.6999999999999957,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.1564357733414,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 60.0,
"momentum_diff": 8.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.5310000000000059,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 10,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5416666666666666,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1017369727047146,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5405405405405406,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8095238095238095,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.281653075525854,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.033756887790247,
"surface_rank_synergy": 31.51785172356654,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.17509356725146197,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.19593103448275861,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.0700000000000003,
"utr_p1": 0.7976470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.9235294117647058,
"utr_advantage": -6.986614430297096,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}