Matteo Berrettini vs Jacob Fearnley
Rome | Clay | Round of 64
10 May 2025, 13:00
10 May 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Matteo … | Jacob … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Matteo Berrettini
Ranking
#57
UTR Rating
15,45 Pro
UTR Ranking
#31
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
4/7 = 57,1%
Jacob Fearnley
Ranking
#77
UTR Rating
15,30 Pro
UTR Ranking
#49
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/16 = 62,5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 20,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,3509 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,3008 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 193,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 43,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 5,6250 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 11,5556 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,4375 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 68,1250 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 77,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 23,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,6522 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,7667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,6010 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,2500 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -2,0800 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9,7800 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,7000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,5500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -14,9700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7407 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8462 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,3333 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7901 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 4,4296 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1,6917 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1613 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1450 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8765 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8588 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,9756 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4151
API ID
13838191
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 4151,
"api_id": 13838191,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Matteo Berrettini",
"player2": "Jacob Fearnley",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-05-10T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 15.45,
"utr_ranking": 31,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 77,
"utr_singles": 15.3,
"utr_ranking": 49,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.5,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 31,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 49,
"division": "Pro",
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"features": {
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"log_rank_ratio": 0.3007541540191337,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"points_diff": 193,
"best_rank_diff": 43,
"surface_wr_diff": 5.625,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 11.555555555555559,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.4375,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 3,
"surface_wr_p1": 68.125,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.5,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 77.77777777777779,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 23,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.6521739130434783,
"p1_confidence": 0.7666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"combined_confidence": 0.6499999999999999,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6009999999999849,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.249999999999986,
"second_serve_won_diff": -2.0800000000000054,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.780000000000001,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.6999999999999993,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.5499999999999989,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -30.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -14.969999999999999,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7407407407407407,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8461538461538461,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.790063739738116,
"serve_consistency_p2": 4.429611046557747,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.691742116357627,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16125,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.14500000000000002,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.14999999999999858,
"utr_p1": 0.876470588235294,
"utr_p2": 0.8588235294117648,
"utr_advantage": 0.9756097560975517,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}