Danielle Collins vs Iga Swiatek
Rome | Clay | Round of 32
10 May 2025, 11:15
10 May 2025, 11:15
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Danielle … | Iga … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Danielle Collins
Ranking
#64
UTR Rating
12.29 Pro
UTR Ranking
#40
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Clay
18/26 = 69.2%
Iga Swiatek
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
12.91 Pro
UTR Ranking
#3
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
34/38 = 89.5%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -62.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0.0313 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3.4657 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3.0000 | |
| points_diff | -7399.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -6.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -17.2295 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -17.7778 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0.6842 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 65.4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 82.6462 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 66.6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 85.7143 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 26.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 38.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.3846 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0.8667 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0.9333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 6.1922 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.2800 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0.7400 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.2500 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0.1400 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.6651 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 68.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -7.6000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.9492 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1.2652 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7.0282 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13.8517 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 59.7129 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.2162 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.2645 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0.6200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5047 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5776 | |
| utr_advantage | -4.9206 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
4169
API ID
13838470
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4169,
"api_id": 13838470,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Danielle Collins",
"player2": "Iga Swiatek",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2025-05-10T11:15:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 64,
"utr_singles": 12.29,
"utr_ranking": 40,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
"wr_surface_wins": 18,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 12.91,
"utr_ranking": 3,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 89.47368421052632,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 38,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.29,
"ranking": 40,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.91,
"ranking": 3,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"rank_advantage": -62,
"rank_ratio": 0.03125,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.4657359027997265,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"points_diff": -7399,
"best_rank_diff": -6,
"surface_wr_diff": -17.229487179487194,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -17.777777777777782,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6842105263157895,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_p1": 65.41666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 82.64615384615385,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.71428571428571,
"p1_surface_matches": 26,
"p2_surface_matches": 38,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.38461538461538464,
"p1_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": 6.192205128205124,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.2800000000000011,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0.740000000000002,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.250000000000007,
"bp_converted_diff": 0.13999999999999346,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.665102564102564,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 68.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -7.599999999999994,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9491525423728814,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.2651515151515151,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.02816885369547,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.85173252214895,
"surface_rank_synergy": 59.71285230477636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.21616666666666662,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.2644615384615384,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.620000000000001,
"utr_p1": 0.5047058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.5776470588235294,
"utr_advantage": -4.920634920634929,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0127",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
"utr_p1": "0.012",
"utr_p2": "0.0115",
"utr_advantage": "0.0308",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
"utr_available": "0.0172"
}
}