Luca Nardi vs Alex de Minaur
Rome | Clay | Round of 64
10 May 2025, 22:35
10 May 2025, 22:35
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Luca … | Alex … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Luca Nardi
Ranking
#108
UTR Rating
14,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Clay
6/14 = 42,9%
Alex de Minaur
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
15,95 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
10/15 = 66,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -102,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0556 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,8904 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -4,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3519,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -61,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,2051 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,4383 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,4615 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51,6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,7059 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0370 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,7957 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,9900 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,3600 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,7700 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -16,5200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,6544 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,8460 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,4762 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8992 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3750 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0893 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,1940 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 52,6196 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0866 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0647 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,3800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7729 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9353 | |
| utr_advantage | -9,0433 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1048
utr_diff
0,0861
surface_wr_diff
0,0678
points_diff
0,0255
surface_rank_synergy
0,0236
h2h_win_rate_p1
0,0231
utr_both_pro
0,0206
rank_ratio
0,0174
rank_advantage
0,0169
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0167
Info del Partido
Match ID
4178
API ID
13838210
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4178,
"api_id": 13838210,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Luca Nardi",
"player2": "Alex de Minaur",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-05-10T18:35:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"ranking": 108,
"utr_singles": 14.57,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 15.95,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 15,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
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}
},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.05555555555555555,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.890371757896165,
"rank_tier_advantage": -4,
"points_diff": -3519,
"best_rank_diff": -61,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.205128205128204,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.438330170777988,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.46153846153845,
"surface_wr_p2": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 51.61290322580645,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.037037037037037035,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.7957179487179502,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.9900000000000091,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.3599999999999994,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.769999999999996,
"bp_converted_diff": -16.519999999999996,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.6543589743589744,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 52.0,
"momentum_diff": 8.000000000000007,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.8460000000000036,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.47619047619047616,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8991935483870968,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.089278024918029,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.19404722470374,
"surface_rank_synergy": 52.619588412981464,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08661538461538448,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06466666666666654,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
"utr_diff": -1.379999999999999,
"utr_p1": 0.7729411764705882,
"utr_p2": 0.9352941176470587,
"utr_advantage": -9.043250327653992,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
},
"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0169",
"rank_ratio": "0.0174",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0143",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0139",
"points_diff": "0.0255",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0159",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0678",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0167",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0116",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0111",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0151",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0144",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0117",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0112",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0109",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0118",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0132",
"p1_confidence": "0.0121",
"p2_confidence": "0.0124",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0108",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0119",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0106",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0112",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0103",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0127",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.012",
"momentum_p1": "0.0106",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0126",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0134",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0109",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0114",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_p1": "0.0104",
"match_load_p2": "0.0107",
"match_load_diff": "0.0107",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0131",
"h2h_matches": "0.0098",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0231",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0106",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0133",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.011",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0122",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0127",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0108",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0109",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.011",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0236",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0124",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0114",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.015",
"utr_diff": "0.0861",
"utr_p1": "0.0119",
"utr_p2": "0.0107",
"utr_advantage": "0.1048",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0206",
"utr_available": "0.0143"
}
}