Peyton Stearns vs Naomi Osaka
Rome | Clay | Round of 16
12 May 2025, 13:00
12 May 2025, 13:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Peyton … | Naomi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Clay
8/11 = 72,7%
Naomi Osaka
Ranking
#17
UTR Rating
12,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#15
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
8/11 = 72,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -51,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2500 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,3863 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -1379,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -27,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 3,9583 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 4,1062 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3500 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,5341 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 67,5758 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,7419 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 62,5000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 20,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4074 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7833 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -13,6880 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,3300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,4100 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,4900 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -3,9200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -3,9500 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -8,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7752 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,8939 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 11,4704 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,7158 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -5,4874 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2663 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1248 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5412 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,2967 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage
0,1087
utr_diff
0,0839
surface_wr_diff
0,0685
surface_rank_synergy
0,0307
rank_advantage
0,0208
rank_ratio
0,0191
surface_wr_p1
0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0,0184
surface_wr_p2
0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier
0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID
4204
API ID
13838460
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Rome
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 4204,
"api_id": 13838460,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Peyton Stearns",
"player2": "Naomi Osaka",
"tournament": "Rome",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2025-05-12T09:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 17,
"utr_singles": 12.6,
"utr_ranking": 15,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.72727272727273,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
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"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 15,
"division": "Pro",
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},
"features": {
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"rank_ratio": 0.25,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.3862943611198906,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"points_diff": -1379,
"best_rank_diff": -27,
"surface_wr_diff": 3.9583333333333286,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.10618279569892,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.35,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"surface_wr_p2": 67.57575757575758,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.74193548387096,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 62.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 27,
"p2_surface_matches": 20,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4074074074074074,
"p1_confidence": 0.9,
"p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
"combined_confidence": 0.7833333333333333,
"serve_quality_diff": -13.688000000000002,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.330000000000005,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.4100000000000037,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.489999999999995,
"bp_converted_diff": -3.9200000000000017,
"aces_per_match_diff": -3.9499999999999993,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_diff": -7.999999999999986,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7751937984496124,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.8939393939393939,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 11.470442893903138,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.715783381186151,
"surface_rank_synergy": -5.487415179432894,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.26634090909090913,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.12475757575757573,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": -0.5299999999999994,
"utr_p1": 0.47882352941176476,
"utr_p2": 0.5411764705882353,
"utr_advantage": -4.2967166599108175,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0208",
"rank_ratio": "0.0191",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
"points_diff": "0.0137",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
"p1_confidence": "0.0097",
"p2_confidence": "0.0123",
"combined_confidence": "0.0116",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
"momentum_p1": "0.0129",
"momentum_p2": "0.0108",
"momentum_diff": "0.0122",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
"match_load_p1": "0.0117",
"match_load_p2": "0.0111",
"match_load_diff": "0.0106",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
"h2h_matches": "0.0117",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
"utr_diff": "0.0839",
"utr_p1": "0.0118",
"utr_p2": "0.0114",
"utr_advantage": "0.1087",
"utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
"utr_available": "0.0118"
}
}