Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearns
Adelaide | Hard | Qualification Final
04 Jan 2025, 23:30
04 Jan 2025, 23:30
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Maria … | Peyton … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Maria Sakkari
Ranking
#51
UTR Rating
12.19 Pro
UTR Ranking
#58
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
30/58 = 51.7%
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12.15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#65
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
23/53 = 43.4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 12.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1.2353 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0.2113 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0.0000 | |
| points_diff | 103.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 25.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 7.6366 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7.7533 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.0943 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 49.5652 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41.9286 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 51.6129 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43.8596 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 58.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 53.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.0345 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0.8391 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1.6002 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1.1057 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 1.2986 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5.4600 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0.1463 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66.6667 | |
| momentum_diff | 33.3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 16.9444 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0.6193 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7698 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.4615 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4118 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10.7703 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 1.6137 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0.0163 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0.0687 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0.0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.4929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.4882 | |
| utr_advantage | 0.3287 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1032
surface_rank_synergy
0.0540
points_diff
0.0344
utr_diff
0.0324
utr_advantage
0.0308
rank_tier_advantage
0.0300
rank_advantage
0.0264
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0206
log_rank_ratio
0.0186
utr_available
0.0172
Info del Partido
Match ID
423
API ID
13298269
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Adelaide
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"match": {
"id": 423,
"api_id": 13298269,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Maria Sakkari",
"player2": "Peyton Stearns",
"tournament": "Adelaide",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2025-01-04T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
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}
},
"prediction": null,
"player_stats": {
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"utr_singles": 12.19,
"utr_ranking": 58,
"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 51.724137931034484,
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"wr_surface_total": 58,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
},
"p2": {
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"utr_singles": 12.15,
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"utr_division": "Pro",
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"wr_surface": 43.39622641509434,
"wr_surface_wins": 23,
"wr_surface_total": 53,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"features": {
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"points_diff": 103,
"best_rank_diff": 25,
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"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
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"p1_surface_matches": 58,
"p2_surface_matches": 53,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.034482758620689655,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.8391485714285736,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.600191304347831,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1057043478260908,
"bp_saved_diff": 1.2985565217391368,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.459982608695647,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.14632919254658416,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
"momentum_p1": 100.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 16.94444444444443,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6192893401015228,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.769811320754717,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.46153846153846156,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.4117647058823529,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.770309352207489,
"surface_rank_synergy": 1.613692737042427,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.016347826086956563,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.06871428571428567,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"utr_diff": 0.03999999999999915,
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"utr_advantage": 0.3286770747740275,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"utr_available": 1.0
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"feature_importance": {
"rank_advantage": "0.0264",
"rank_ratio": "0.0154",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0186",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.03",
"points_diff": "0.0344",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1032",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0206",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0126",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0128",
"surface_wr_p1": "0.0156",
"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0122",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0125",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0123",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0134",
"p1_confidence": "0.0145",
"p2_confidence": "0.0121",
"combined_confidence": "0.0143",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0122",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.012",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0121",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0118",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0115",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0125",
"momentum_p1": "0.013",
"momentum_p2": "0.0115",
"momentum_diff": "0.0127",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0119",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0129",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0114",
"match_load_p1": "0.012",
"match_load_p2": "0.0124",
"match_load_diff": "0.0123",
"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0133",
"h2h_matches": "0.0152",
"h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0028",
"h2h_on_surface": "0.0059",
"h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0121",
"h2h_confidence_score": "0.0151",
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0141",
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0133",
"tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.0121",
"tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.012",
"serve_consistency_p1": "0.0117",
"serve_consistency_p2": "0.0124",
"surface_rank_synergy": "0.054",
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0125",
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"elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0171",
"utr_diff": "0.0324",
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"utr_both_pro": "0.0149",
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}
}