Jack Draper vs Carlos Alcaraz
Rome | Clay | Quarterfinals
14 May 2025, 17:00
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jack … Carlos … Prob Impl. P1
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jack Draper
Ranking #11
UTR Rating 15,90 Pro
UTR Ranking #6
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 12/16 = 75,0%
Carlos Alcaraz
Ranking #1
UTR Rating 16,32 Pro
UTR Ranking #2
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 22/23 = 95,7%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -10,0000
rank_ratio 0,0909
log_rank_ratio -2,3979
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -9060,0000
best_rank_diff -3,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -26,2422
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -25,1736
surface_matches_ratio 0,6364
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4,0000
surface_wr_p1 65,0000
surface_wr_p2 91,2422
surface_wr_p1_stable 59,3750
surface_wr_p2_stable 85,4167
p1_surface_matches 28,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2143
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9667
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,1745
first_serve_won_diff 4,1400
second_serve_won_diff -2,6600
bp_saved_diff -6,2200
bp_converted_diff -8,3000
aces_per_match_diff 2,9512
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5239
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,4384
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1761
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7000
serve_consistency_p1 9,4342
serve_consistency_p2 4,7477
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 62,9261
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1600
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,4024
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4200
utr_p1 0,9294
utr_p2 0,9788
utr_advantage -2,6071
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
utr_advantage 0,1087
utr_diff 0,0839
surface_wr_diff 0,0685
surface_rank_synergy 0,0307
rank_advantage 0,0208
rank_ratio 0,0191
surface_wr_p1 0,0190
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0184
surface_wr_p2 0,0179
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0174
Info del Partido
Match ID 4308
API ID 13838193
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Rome
Superficie Clay
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 4308,
    "api_id": 13838193,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Jack Draper",
    "player2": "Carlos Alcaraz",
    "tournament": "Rome",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2025-05-14T13:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": null,
  "player_stats": {
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      "ranking": 11,
      "utr_singles": 15.9,
      "utr_ranking": 6,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
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      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 1,
      "utr_singles": 16.32,
      "utr_ranking": 2,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 95.65217391304348,
      "wr_surface_wins": 22,
      "wr_surface_total": 23,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
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  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 6,
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      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.32,
      "ranking": 2,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "points_diff": -9060,
    "best_rank_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -26.242236024844715,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -25.173611111111104,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6363636363636364,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_p1": 65.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 91.24223602484471,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 59.375,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 85.41666666666666,
    "p1_surface_matches": 28,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.21428571428571427,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9666666666666667,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.1744844720496985,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.140000000000001,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -2.6599999999999895,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.219999999999999,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.299999999999997,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.9512422360248443,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5239186005309655,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.4383561643835616,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.1761252446183954,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6363636363636364,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.7,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.434220821946127,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.747686275924944,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 62.92613371163425,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16000000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.40242236024844713,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": -0.0,
    "utr_diff": -0.41999999999999993,
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    "utr_advantage": -2.6070763500931093,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {
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    "rank_ratio": "0.0191",
    "log_rank_ratio": "0.0159",
    "rank_tier_advantage": "0.0126",
    "points_diff": "0.0137",
    "best_rank_diff": "0.0166",
    "surface_wr_diff": "0.0685",
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0184",
    "surface_matches_ratio": "0.0114",
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0109",
    "surface_wr_p1": "0.019",
    "surface_wr_p2": "0.0179",
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0121",
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0116",
    "p1_surface_matches": "0.0114",
    "p2_surface_matches": "0.0115",
    "p1_surface_dominance": "0.0127",
    "p1_confidence": "0.0097",
    "p2_confidence": "0.0123",
    "combined_confidence": "0.0116",
    "serve_quality_diff": "0.012",
    "first_serve_won_diff": "0.0125",
    "second_serve_won_diff": "0.0114",
    "bp_saved_diff": "0.0115",
    "bp_converted_diff": "0.011",
    "aces_per_match_diff": "0.0106",
    "last5_wr_diff": "0.0124",
    "last3_wr_diff": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p1": "0.0129",
    "momentum_p2": "0.0108",
    "momentum_diff": "0.0122",
    "weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0137",
    "current_streak_diff": "0.0146",
    "days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0118",
    "days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0122",
    "match_load_p1": "0.0117",
    "match_load_p2": "0.0111",
    "match_load_diff": "0.0106",
    "h2h_wins_diff": "0.0137",
    "h2h_matches": "0.0117",
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": "0.0088",
    "h2h_on_surface": "0.0",
    "h2h_recency_weighted": "0.0131",
    "h2h_confidence_score": "0.0124",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": "0.0133",
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": "0.0118",
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": "0.012",
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": "0.0121",
    "serve_consistency_p1": "0.0104",
    "serve_consistency_p2": "0.0109",
    "surface_rank_synergy": "0.0307",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": "0.0122",
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": "0.0119",
    "elite_surface_amplifier": "0.0174",
    "utr_diff": "0.0839",
    "utr_p1": "0.0118",
    "utr_p2": "0.0114",
    "utr_advantage": "0.1087",
    "utr_both_pro": "0.0161",
    "utr_available": "0.0118"
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}